UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold Staff Picks

 

Rosenthal League

Benjamin Kohn: 42-16, .724

Tim Bernier: 41-16, .719

Nolan Howell: 84-34, .712

Daniel Galvan: 19-8, .704

Tim Hickey: 64-27, .703

Josh Hall: 56-26, .683

Winslow League

Christian Diaz: 23-12, .657

Connor Dillon: 44-25, .638

Chris Groves: 30-19, .612

Lucas Bourdon: 7-5, .583

Luke Irwin: 76-62, .551

TC Engel: 20-20, .500

Last Event Winner: Luke Irwin (9-2)

(Alas, even with the best picks of the week, your esteemed editor could only merely claw hiw way out of his dungeon, but fail to see daylight.  Ben and Nolan continue their pickle-in-the-middle of the top spot with Bernier unable to catch the nerf ball.)

Middleweight Bout: Luke Rockhold (10-1) vs. Vitor Belfort (22-10)

Luke Irwin: I think these two are very, very evenly matched, moreso than people think. I know the majority of Rockhold’s wins are via submission, but I just chalk that up to inferior opponents that he didn’t engage because he didn’t need to. I view Rockhold as a precision striker with a nice submission game, fantastic submission defense, a great gas tank, and a steady pace. Just like Vitor. Vitor will be the best striker Rockhold has ever faced, and Vitor certainly has stopping power. However, Vitor’s only been in the third round twice since Pride, and I think if Rockhold wants to make it a twenty-five minute fight, I’m not sure if Vitor still has that in him. If this fight is three rounds, I’m going Vitor, but I think Rockhold is able to make it last and wear down Vitor in the later rounds. Rockhold via UD.

Connor Dillon: Luke Rockhold put on a great performance against ‘Jacare’ to win the Strikeforce Middleweight championship, then beat Keith Jardine and Tim Kennedy to remain the champ. He’s a good wrestler with a developing arsenal of kicks trained at AKA. Vitor Belfort is the old lion who is as good as new with the help of his TRT. Ever since he captured the world with a dominating win against Wanderlei Silva, Vitor has faced ups and downs that many humans never will. He’s also making a comeback in a way, knocking out Michael Bisping with a beautiful head kick. So who will win? I think Rockhold will shock the world once again. I think he’ll use combinations mixed in with leg kicks to keep Vitor off his game and take the W over a Brazilian crowd. In my heart I really hope Vitor wins, but in this fight I think Rockhold has too many weapons to use. Luke Rockhold via Decision.

Tim Bernier: I think Vitor’s decline is nigh. Even coming off that spectacular head kick KO. At this point I think Rockhold weathers the early storm and grinds out an ugly W. It’ll be a good win, not controversial. But man is Rockhold going to have to work for it. Good fight. Rockhold by decision.

Tim Hickey: In a fun and relative main event, Belfort and Rockhold will clash in what could potentially be a title eliminator. This is a really tough fight to call, as Vitor only seems to lose to the upper echelon of the division over the last few years and holds the obvious experience advantage, but I think Rockhold’s variety of kicks, as well as the fact that the Strikeforce fighters have been on a run lately should propel him to victory. Rockhold via UD.

Marta Gallo: I’ll be honest here, I find both of these guys to be completely irritating. I do enjoy Vitor’s fight style a lot more though. I also don’t get all the “oh my he is so handsome” love for Rockhold. Going with the young dinosaur. Belfort.

Ben Kohn: Belfort R1 TKO.

Nolan Howell: This fight doesn’t seem to be as close as everyone believes it is. While Luke Rockhold is going to have staying power, his striking offense is kicks, kicks, and even more kicks. In those kicks, he hasn’t learned to keep his hands up. Rockhold will probably have an advantage on the ground, but Vitor Belfort will have one of his first round counterblitzes ready to go off of a few kicks. Vitor Belfort via first-round KO.

 

Middleweight Bout: Chris Camozzi (19-5) vs. Ronaldo Souza (17-3)

Luke Irwin: Alright, Camozzi, you wanted a step up in competition. Chomp. Chomp. Souza via R1 Submission.

Connor Dillon: This is an interesting fight for Camozzi, because we’ll see if he’s ready to become a possible contender. Since his run on TUF, Camozzi has been on a good streak of fights, winning most of them. On the other hand, ‘Jacare’ has been a champion in Strikeforce up until Luke Rockhold won the belt from him, as well as winning multiple championships in submission grappling beforehand. He’s a very dangerous fight for anyone, and I think at this point, it’s too early for Camozzi. I think ‘Jacare’ wins by submission, after a strong striking exchange. ‘Jacare’ via submission.

Tim Bernier: C’mon son. The only reason I don’t know how to pick this fight is because I don’t know if Jacare is going to finish it with strikes like he has lately, or he is going to use that fantastic BJJ and finish it with a submission. Jacare by submission. Jacare with chomping celebration.

Tim Hickey: Originally a matchup between two top 10 middleweights until Costas Philippou pulled out with an injury, on paper this looks like a bit of a mismatch. While Camozzi is scrappy, and has put together a very respectable 7-2, he has never faced a fighter as talented as Jacre. While Jacre’s opponents over his last three fights haven’t been stellar, I think he is better than Camozzi in every aspect of the fight game. Jacare via 2nd round sub.

Marta Gallo: Jacare is one of my favorite fighter nicknames. I would give him the win just for that. Fortunately he also has great jiu jitsu. Souza win via submission.

Ben Kohn: Souza R1 Sub.

Nolan Howell: Chris Camozzi is tougher than a two dollar steak. However, fighting Rafael Natal and now stepping up to face Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza is like going from little league to the MLB. This will hit the mat early and fast. Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza via first-round submission.

 

Lightweight Bout: Evan Dunham (14-3) vs. Rafael dos Anjos (18-6)

Luke Irwin: As an aside, I find it funny that these two are a combined 1-1 with two split decisions against the patron saint. Ok, on to the fight. This is also pretty evenly matched up, both are entertaining with solid striking. dos Anjos is better on the ground, and every time I doubt him he comes through. RDA is only another win or two from title talk and I think he makes that next step. Dunham hasn’t been the same since the Sherk fight. dos Anjos via SD.

Connor Dillon: dos Anjos has been on a hotstreak since losing to Clay Guida in a fight that he forfeited after getting his jaw broken. Evan Dunham has stuttered as a prospect after losing to Sean Sherk and Melvin Guillard. Both are going to be strong staples in the Lightweight division for several more years I believe, and it really depends on this match up. dos Anjos has very good striking and a decent grappling base while Dunham has decent striking and a very good ground game. I suppose it depends on who will implement their preferred gameplan, and if Dunham can control himself and not get into a brawl. I think Dunham has grown from his losses, and it’ll be his night through better usage of takedowns and positional dominance. Evan Dunham via Decision.

Tim Bernier: I don’t know why I’m such an Evan Dunham fan. I’ve just always liked watching him fight. He’s been easy to root for. Dos Anjos is on a nice little streak of his own, and he’s the rightful favorite. But fuck it. Dunham is going to make this his brawl, and he’ll come out the winner, dropping the first round and taking the next two. Dunham by decision.

Tim Hickey: A couple of long time UFC veterans facing off here. Dos Anjos has looked solid in his last 3 fights, while Dunham has seen both ups and downs. I think Dunham’s wrestling is good enough to avoid the takedown, and I think he outstrikes Dos Anjos to victory Dunham via UD.

Marta Gallo: I predict this is FOTN. Dunham has looked good lately despite losing to TJ Grant, but Dos Anjos has looked better in every way. I think he keeps it up. Dos Anjos via decision.

Ben Kohn: dos Anjos UD.

Nolan Howell: This is a tough, tough call. Rafael dos Anjos has shown some brilliance in his past few fights, but as a whole, he is just getting hot after being a so-so midcarder. Evan Dunham has had his ups and downs as well, but has shown more promise against tougher competition. Dunham’s takedown defense, striking, and conditioning should win him this fight. Evan Dunham via unanimous decision.

 

Middleweight Bout: Joao Zeferino (13-4) vs. Rafael Natal (15-4-1)

Luke Irwin: Natal is puke and fights like an idiot, but Zeferino has beat nobodies in nowhere promotions. Zeferino fought six times last year, and I’ve only even HEARD of one of the promotions, and when I watched his fight in it, he never stood out. Natal via R1 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Natal has been in the UFC for several years now, going through a very normal win-lose-win-lose cycle there. This is Zeferino’s first time fighting for the UFC. Personally, this seems like a very top-heavy card, with this being the weakest on the Main. Zeferino also happens to be a submission wizard of sorts, grabbing 9 of his victories with a submission. Natal, however, has yet to be submitted. As such, I’m going to say Natal takes this with a unanimous decision, surviving several scary positions and beating the UFC newcomer. Natal via Decision.

Tim Bernier: Sign number one that you may not be a good fighter: you don’t have a Wikipedia page. Sign number two that you may not be a good fighter: your last three fights have come on the Braziliam amateur circuit against guys with 10-9, 4-3, and 4-1 records. Zeferino will be stepping into the cage against someone who is such a step up in competition that it’s hard to think he has a chance. Natal by submission.

Tim Hickey: While I know nothing about Zeferino, a quick look at his Sherdog profiles shows 9 sub wins, including 3 of his last 4 wins coming via 1st round sub. I think Natal maybe a little too much for the debuting UFC fighter though. Natal via UD.

Marta Gallo: Zeferino is a last minute replacement, so really this is Natal’s fight to lose. I hope they skip the interview with him again so that we get to hear him bitch about how perfect he and his girlfriend are and how they should interview him.  Natal.

Ben Kohn: Natal R2 KO.

Nolan Howell: Joao Zeferino just jumped into a pool of sharks here. It seems like the only thing that derails Rafael Natal is himself. Natal is competent in all areas and should take this one. Rafael Natal via second-round submission.

 

Featherweight Bout: Hacran Dias (21-1-1) vs. Nik Lentz (23-5-2)

Luke Irwin: Lentz is a tough out for any fighter and has looked fantastic at featherweight, but Nova Uniao is absolutely a wrestler’s kryptonite. With the exception of maybe AKA, no other camp shuts down wrestlers easier than Nova. Odds are, if you’re 155 pounds or lighter and are a wrestler, Nova will stop any offense you have, keep you standing, and make you pay on their terms. I think Hacran is the real deal and will see a strong test from Lentz, but this could be his star-making appearence. Dias via R3 TKO.

Tim Bernier: Lentz has had such a ridiculous UFC career. I get enjoyment just wondering if his fights will be boring or exciting. I’ll bite and say exciting for this bout. Lentz by decision.

Tim Hickey: Dias traded in fighting one savvy veteran in Manny Gamburyan for another dog in Nik Lentz. Dias looked solid in his promotional debut, but after almost a year on the shelf it is hard to say how it affected him. Lentz is not a fighter to sleep on, and will give Dias all he can handle. Lentz via UD.

Marta Gallo: Everyone has a fighter that they dislike for no reason. For most people that is CB Dollaway, for me however, it’s Nik Lentz. I hate his face. While it is entirely possible that he will lay on Dias and win a horribly boring decision, I am still going with Dias.

Ben Kohn: Lentz UD.

Nolan Howell: Hacran Dias has a lot of promise, but he is facing his first skilled wrestler. Dias may be slick enough on the ground to cause problems, but still, Nik Lentz has the gas tank and the pace to take Dias down whenever he pleases. Nik Lentz via unanimous decision.

 

Lightweight Bout: Francisco Trinaldo (12-2) vs. Mike Rio (9-1)

Luke Irwin: Another pretty evenly-matched contest. Both guys have around a dozen fights, both guys came up through their regionals, Trinaldo through Rio and Sao Paulo, Rio through Florida, and both are at about the same point in their UFC career. This is the tightest bout of the night, but I believe in strength of schedule and experience. Trinaldo via SD.

Tim Bernier: It’s a lot of work coming up with things to say about fights I don’t really care about. I can’t wait for UFC 160 which is stacked to the heavens. I’m taking Trinaldo because he’s a massive favorite. Trinaldo by submission.

Tim Hickey: This has potential for be a fun fight. Both guys look to finish, and are willing to fight aggressively. Trinaldo is strong, and he throws everything with bad intentions, but he has a tendency to get wild, which Rio can look to take advantage of. While Trianlado has shown a good ground game, Rio’s an accomplished Division II wrestler and should be able to dictate the pace of this fight. Rio via 3rd Rd TKO.

Marta Gallo: I am guessing this will be Rio’s last fight in the UFC. Trinaldo is the better striker here and I like him for the win.

Ben Kohn: Trinaldo UD.

Nolan Howell: Mike Rio has the wresting advantage here, but that’s about it. Francisco Trinaldo has the size and ability to stuff the takedowns and dictate where he can fight most comfortably. Francisco Trinaldo via second-round TKO.

 

Lightweight Bout: Gleison Tibau (26-9) vs. John Cholish (8-2)

Luke Irwin: (looks at bout order, sees Tibau not on the main card.) Tibau via UD.

Connor Dillon: Just to piss off Luke I should stick with Cholish, but I’d be lying to myself and everyone if I thought he had a snowball’s chance in Hell of pulling it off. Tibau has too much experience, and unless he’s suffering from an injury, he’ll beat the brakes of Cholish for a solid win. Tibau via Tibau-ing.

Tim Bernier: I’m starting to wondering if Luke actually reads all of the inane banter I write when making my picks. So I’ll test him. I’m writing this Thursday afternoon. I hope the Penguins get roflstomped tomorrow night. Insert “Cindy” Crosby joke here. Tibau takes this boring affair. Tibau by decision. [Ed. Note: If anyone in the greater Chicago area would happen to "accidentally" throw Tim down a storm sewer, I'll make it worth your while.]

Tim Hickey: Good Lord, this is Tibau’s 19th UFC fight! He has cut himself out a nice little career as the Patron Saint of The Undercard. Now, even if I wanted to, can I pick against him? What’s that Luke? No? What do you mean no? I don’t remember this being a totalitarian rule! What? Of course I want to keep working for Undercard. I just feel……c’mon man……but….ok that is too far, I love my mother, she is a wonderful person…..bu…. sigh. Tibau via undercard awesomeness.

Marta Gallo: I had to triple check that Tibau is actually still fighting at lightweight. How is that possible? he is the size of a Mack truck!  Tibau via being huge.

Ben Kohn: Tibau R2 Sub.

Nolan Howell: John Cholish is UFC caliber, but he isn’t ready for permanent gatekeepers like Gleison Tibau. Look for the hulking Tibau to do whatever he wants when he comes in the cage at 300 lbs. Gleison Tibau via unanimous decision.

 

Welterweight Bout: Michel Richard dos Prazeres (16-0) vs. Paulo Thiago (14-5)

Luke Irwin: First off, damn you, UFC, for making us wait almost two years to hear Paulo’s theme in Brazil again. Regarding Prazeres, there are three big promotions in Brazil, Jungle Fight, Watch Out Combat Show, and Shooto Brazil, out of those sixteen wins, he’s logged two in those. Paulo is still an excellent fighter and will have the crowd on his side, methinks. Thiago via UD.

Tim Bernier: Paulo Thiago is finally gets an easy fight. I don’t even know who his opponent is. Real professional, Tim. Paulo Thiago by submission.

Tim Hickey: Man, if you look at Paulo Thiago’s UFC fight history, he has literally fought pretty much just tough ass dudes. Koscheck, Fitch, Kampmann, Swick, Volkmann, Sanchez, Siyar and Stun Gun. His strength of schedule is fucking ridiculous. All while working a full time job being real life Call of Duty. I know nothing about Prezeres aside from the fact that he defeated Anderson “Banana” Silva (http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Anderson-Silva-16067) Thiago via 1st Rd TKO.

Marta Gallo: Thiago is still employed with B.O.P.E. If he wants to stay employed with the UFC he must win this fight. Fortunately that should be quite easy for him.  Thiago.

Ben Kohn: Thiago R1 Sub.

Nolan Howell: As my man Dusty Rhodes would say, Paulo Thiago has had hard times, daddy. Those end tonight. Michel Prazeres may be a fine prospect, but Thiago has went with the best of the best. Paulo Thiago via unanimous decision.

 

Bantamweight Bout: Iliarde Santos (27-6-1) vs. Yuri Alcantra (27-4)

Luke Irwin: Now Iliarde is a regional fighter who actually deserves a shot in the UFC, but man, Alcantra is nasty. Both had TKO wins, kimura wins, and other finishes against good names in big-time Brazilian indies, but Yuri is just one step above Santos in every way. More finishes, better competition, bigger cards. I think Santos should be brought in, but Yuri is what Santos was three years ago, he’s not at his level yet. Alcantra via UD.

Tim Bernier: Another fighter I’ve never heard of, another lobsided fight. Alcantara by KO.

Tim Hickey: Alcantara via UD.

Marta Gallo: I seriously have no idea who Iliarde Santos is…I do know that Alcantara is due a win via karma since he was robbed of his last win due to ridiculous acting.

Ben Kohn: Alcantra R2 KO.

Nolan Howell: Iliarde Santos is going to be a late replacement to step in front of the freight train that is Yuri Alcantara. Yuri Alcantara via first-round TKO.

 

Light Heavyweight Bout: Fabio Maldonado (18-6) vs. Roger Hollett (13-4)

Luke Irwin: Fab has lost his last three fights in the UFC, but goddamn if they weren’t all fantastic battles. Maldonado is the gamest of game opponents, despite being legally deceased, and he’s being served up someone in Hollett who can be beat easily, who went 0-2 in his last venture in MFC. This is the UFC’s justification for keeping an exciting punching bag like Fab in the promotion. Maldonado via R2 KO.

Tim Bernier: Maldonado is still in the UFC after losing three straight because he was thrown to Glover Teixeira on short notice. That fight was just scary and sad. Ya can’t cut a guy after stepping up and taking that beating. Maldonado’s job is on the line, and I think he keeps it. Maldonado by decision.

Tim Hickey: This is going to be a fight that I doubt hits the ground. Both guys like to box and it should be a decent back and forth. Hollett’s biggest issue seems to be his gastank, and we all saw Maldonado’s heart again Glover. I expect Hollett to gas midway through the 2nd and for Maldonado to put him away shortly thereafter. Maldonado via 3rd Rd TKO.

Marta Gallo: Maldonado is another fighter with his job on the line. While it could be an interesting fight, I wouldn’t count on it. Maldonado via boring decision.

Ben Kohn: Hollet UD.

Nolan Howell: Fabio Maldonado is one of my favorite fighters to watch. His boxing is not technical in any sense, but he uses the magic of body shots in the most beautifully violent manner. Roger Hollett is really not fun and his liver is going to be in worse shape than Lindsay Lohan’s after tonight. Fabio Maldonado via first-round TKO.

 

Flyweight Bout: Azamat Gashimov (7-2) vs. John Lineker (20-6)

Luke Irwin: Oh, this is not going to end well for Gashimov. Lineker is a future champ and Gashimov is making his flyweight debut after being housed by Menjivar. Lineker via R2 TKO.

Tim Bernier: Close fight. That’s all I really got. Lineker by decision.

Tim Hickey: Lineker has looked good so far in the UFC, and I expect this trend to continue. Gashimov is only 23, and the veteran Lineker could send him back to the minors for some more seasoning. Lineker via UD.

Marta Gallo: Lineker is best known for his FOTN against that one guy with green hair. I had to consult Google to figure out who Gashimov was…you can always tell your picks are going to go well when you have no idea who the opponent is. I’m going with Lineker here.

Ben Kohn: Lineker UD.

Nolan Howell: Azamat Gashimov will not like the wildcat that is John Lineker. Weatherman calls for a hailstorm of punches with no fucks given. John Lineker via second-round TKO.

 

Flyweight Bout: Chris Cariaso (14-4) vs. Jussier da Silva (14-2)

Luke Irwin: This really needs to be on the main card. Seriously, these are two Top-10 fighters trying to rebound and get back in the title hunt. Formiga is the ultimate flyweight hipster, dominating at 125 before it was cool, and has been on my radar since Tachi Palace, but Cariaso is the real deal and I think he’s got a title shot in his very immediate future. FOTN right here, lads. Cariaso via UD.

Tim Bernier: And for my only upset of the night: Cariaso by decision.

Tim Hickey: Two very good veterans looking to get back in the mix at 125 lbs should provide some very good entertainment. Cariaso is a WEC vet who has crisp counter striking and had a solid run at 135 lbs. A couple of years ago, Formiga was considered the best flyweight on the planet. Formiga needs to look to put this one on the floor, as his BJJ is streets ahead of just about anyone else in the division. I think Cariaso will make it difficult for him but fail in the end. Formiga via rear naked choke Rd 2.

Marta Gallo: SOTN here. Formiga via best jiu jitsu in tiny man division.

Ben Kohn: da Silva UD.

Nolan Howell: Jussier “Formiga” da Silva was the top flyweight for quite a time, but he is now running into some top flight competition. “Formiga” has the jiu-jitsu prowess here, but Chris Cariaso is solid all-around. Call it a hunch. Chris Cariaso by unanimous decision.

 

Lightweight Bout: Jeremy Larsen (8-3) vs. Lucas Martins (12-1)

Luke Irwin: Larsen is a perfectly capable lightweight, and Martins is an up-and-comer in the Brazilian lightweight division, but you know what? I never trust a fighter who taps to strikes. Larsen via R1 TKO.

Tim Bernier: I should put some money on this fight because it’s be the only reason I can drum up interest for it. Martins by decision.

Tim Hickey: Larsen via UD.

Marta Gallo: Hmmmmm, who and who? To Google! Ooooh yes, I remember that awful Ultimate Fighter show. I’m going with Larsen here.

Ben Kohn: Martins R2 KO.

Nolan Howell: When in doubt, go against the TUF fighter in Jeremy Larsen. Lucas Martins by second-round TKO.

UFC 159 Staff Picks

 

Last Event Winner: Josh Hall (11-1)

Rosenthal League

Benjamin Kohn: 42-16, .724

Nolan Howell: 77-30, .720

Tim Bernier: 33-13, .717

Daniel Galvan: 19-8, .704

Tim Hickey: 56-24, .700

Josh Hall: 49-22, .690

Winslow League

Christian Diaz: 23-12, .657

Connor Dillon: 44-25, .638

Chris Groves: 30-19, .612

Lucas Bourdon: 7-5, .583

Luke Irwin: 67-60, .528

TC Engel: 20-20, .500

(A strong showing by just about everyone at last week’s FOX event.  Luckily for this guy, I was able to pull out of the cellar and leave TC’s maple syrup-swilling ass in the dust.  Ben and Nolan keep passing each other the crown, while Bernier is the pickle-in-the-middle to two older brothers who keep holding it over him and straight-arming him.)

UFC Light Heavyweight Championship: Jon Jones (c) (17-1) vs. Chael Sonnen (27-12-1)

Luke Irwin: Meh. Sometime around the second, maybe third round, Jones is going to get Chael against the fence, he’s going to throw a knee to the body, Chael will go down, Jones will lock on some sort of weird choke and Chael will tap-no-tap. That’s the scenario I keep coming around on over and over again. Jones via R2 Submission.

Tim Bernier: I’m bummed they’re wasting a Jon Jones fight on a squash match, again. Not much to add besides Jones by Submission, Round 2.

Tim Hickey: I honestly do not expect this to be competitive. Yes Chael maybe able to take Jones down, but I can’t see him being able to pull it off for 5 rounds. Nor is there any real danger of him being able to finish the champ. This will more than likely end violently. Jones via 2nd Rd TKO.

Josh Hall: This is a total mismatch. The only question is how long Bones plays with Chael. I’ll say Jones via 2nd round TKO from hellbows.

Nolan Howell: While my cohorts seem to think Jon Jones will end this quickly, I’ll give Chael Sonnen a little credit on endurance. No need to analyze this one too much. Jones will pick him apart until Sonnen’s will is completely broken. Jon Jones by fourth-round TKO.

 

Middleweight Bout: Alan Belcher (18-7) vs. Michael Bisping (23-5)

Luke Irwin: Now this is an interesting fight! Wandy fight aside, Bisping is competent enough on the ground to avoid any kind of sub attempt from Belcher. Plus Belcher tends to me more of a counter-grappler, and there’s no way Bisping initiates anything. I think this will be hard-hitting, technical, and fun, like Belcher’s bout with Akiyama. Unfortunately for Alan, I think it ends the same way. Bisping via SD.

Tim Bernier: This card has a lot of predictable matchups, this being one of them. Bisping will fire away shots from a distance. It’ll be moderately impressive. A lot of straight, accurate punches while he slips away from Belcher’s offense. Bisping by decision.

Tim Hickey: This is really a must win for Bisping. He is 1-2 in his last three fights, and a loss here could potentially push him out of the top 10. I think he may end up following the Okami gameplan and try to wrestler Belcher for 3 rounds. Bisping via decision.

Josh Hall: Belcher has failed every time he has take a big step up in competition, and I expect it to happen again here. I think Bisping is better everywhere but BJJ, but has the defensive wrestling to keep the fight on the feet and pick Belcher apart. Bisping via unanimous decision.

Nolan Howell: This will be a super interesting bout. Alan Belcher hits hard enough to make this interesting and his Thai boxing should present some problems for Michael Bisping. However, Bisping will stick and move far too quickly to trade in a brawl with Belcher. On the ground, Belcher might have a bit of an advantage, but Bisping is competent enough to defend and stand up. Michael Bisping by split decision.

 

Heavyweight Bout: Cheick Kongo (18-7-2) vs. Roy Nelson (18-7)

Luke Irwin: Jack Slack wrote a fantastic article about Kongo and answered some questions I’ve had for a while about his striking. Kongo does get very, very tentative around fighters with strong ground games, and that’s what Roy has, even if he doesn’t use it enough, to my frustration. But I think this goes like most of Roy’s fights. Kongo throws a sloppy punch, and with his enormous reach, it takes forever to get there. By then, Roy has ducked and unleashes that extinction right hand. Nelson via R2 KO.

Tim Bernier: Kongo’s striking defense is horrible. Nelson’s one shot knockout ability is great. The grappling won’t come into that much of a play, as I see Nelson shrugging off Kongo’s TD attempts, and I don’t see Nelson attempting any of his own. Nelson by KO, round 1.

Tim Hickey: If this is a casual MMA fans first UFC event, they are going to think that they have put a well fed homeless man against some sort of murderous chisled from granite superhero. I like the hobo’s chances. He throws a bomb of a overhand right, and as Kongo showed in the Frank Mir, Pat Barry and Mark Hunt fights, he is prone to getting hit with that punch. Combine that with Nelson’s good matwork, and solid chin, it isn’t going to be a good night for Cheick. Nelson via TKO.

Josh Hall: In the battle of mismatched physiques, I like the fat man here. Roy hits hard and is extremely durable, and his ground game is far better than Kongo’s. I think he lands the big overhand fairly early and puts the Frenchman to sleep. Roy via 1st round KO.

Nolan Howell: Cheick Kongo might want to fight ugly here on the cage. However, as we’ve seen, stocky guys with solid defensive grappling are enough to prevent that from happening. Roy Nelson is stocky and a lot more than solid in terms of grappling. Add to the fact that Kongo always eats something, which he cannot afford in this fight, and you have your winner. Roy Nelson by first-round KO.

 

Light Heavyweight Bout: Phil Davis (10-1) vs. Vinny Magalhaes (10-5)

Luke Irwin: Well, this was the fight Vinny wanted, but I think he bit off more than he could chew…or submit. Mr. Wonderful isn’t Igor Pokrajac, he’s an enormous, positionally sound wrestler with great awareness on the ground. I don’t think either will allow the other to find a sub, but I think Davis takes this 30-26. Davis via UD.

Tim Bernier: Another thing this card is full of is potential decisions. Doesn’t mean it’s a bad card. Phil Davis has the clear striking advantage. He will also be able to bring it to the ground if he wants to. Vinny is dangerous on the ground, but submitting a guy off your back in MMA is already difficult, not to mention the fact that Davis’ top game is excellent and he definitely has shown enough submission know-how in his career to avoid the submission attempts. Davis by decision.

Tim Hickey: The Twitter beef finally has a resolution. I am a fan of Magalhaes, as he is one of the most talented and brilliant jiu-jitsu practitioners in MMA today. Unfortunately for him, I don’t think he has a chance to get this to the floor long enough to do anything about it. Davis will probably keep this on the feet, where he holds a speed advantage. Davis via decision.

Josh Hall: Though Davis has the better MMA resume, I think Vinny is a terrible matchup for him. I think the fight stays on the feet early, but I think Davis will struggle to win the fight there. Eventually I think he takes Vinny down, and that leads to his downfall here. Vinny via 2nd round submission.

Nolan Howell: This is another fight that needs to be fought ugly. Phil Davis has some awkward, stiff-as-a-board striking. If he wants to win, he’ll need to do that and stay away from Vinny Magalhaes as if he is made of glue. For some reason, I feel Davis will find himself on the mat and that will be just enough for Magalhaes to strike. Vinny Magalhaes by first-round submission.

 

Lightweight Bout: Jim Miller (22-4) vs. Pat Healy (29-16)

Luke Irwin: A JIM MILLER FIGHT HNNNNNNGGGGGG!! Watching Jim Miller fight has been known to cure leprosy, club foot, and feline AIDS. Healy’s a ground wiz, but he’s just not on Jim Miller’s level. Miller via R3 TKO.

Tim Bernier: One of my favorite matchups on the card. When was the last time Jim Miller was involved in a boring fight? That dude is going to bring the blue collar beating. It may not even be one sided! Healy has a legitimate chance. I’m hoping for a competitive fight, because if they trade it can be magical. Miller by decision, Fight of the Night.

Tim Hickey: Two veterans with over 70 fights between them, Miller and Healy are very similar fighters. Both have shared the cage with some of the most talented fighters in the world. But in the last couple of years, Miller has faced much steeper competition. I believe Miller does everything better than Healy does, but then again, those Strikeforce guys have been sneaky good lately. Miller via decision.

Josh Hall: I hate this fight, because I am a big fan of both guys. Miller is simply going to be too good for Healy here, and I think he continues his newfound aggressive streak here and gets a submission after hurting Healy standing. Jim Miller via 2nd round submission.

Nolan Howell: Jim Miller only loses to guys who compete for the strap. Pat Healy is not one of those guys. Size could play a factor for Healy, but overall, Miller is just too slick everywhere else to fall for that. Jim Miller by unanimous decision.

 

Lightweight Bout: Rustam Khabilov (15-1) vs. Yancy Medeiros (9-0)

Luke Irwin: Alright, a merciless suplexing machine against a fighter who hasn’t fought in almost THREE YEARS AND IS DROPPING FROM MIDDLEWEIGHT. This isn’t going to end well. Khabilov via R1 KO.

Tim Bernier: I don’t even know who Medeiros is, and I won’t bother to check. All I want is my favorite move in any combat sport- the Suplex. Give me more of them. Khabilov by decision.

Tim Hickey: You may recognize Khabilov as the Russian who tried to drive Vinc Pichel through the mat back at the TUF finally back in December. Medeiros hasn’t fought in 3 years, and God willing maybe the sacrificial lamb to quench my unquenchable slam thirst. Khabilov via triple suplex Rd 2.

Josh Hall: Khabilov is coming off one of the more impressive debuts in recent history after suplexing Vinc Pichel to sleep, and Medieros hasn’t fought in a long time. That’s enough for me. Khabilov via unanimous decision.

Nolan Howell: This fight is going to remind me of something between Chris Benoit and Kurt Angle circa 2001. Rustam Khabilov by first-round TKO.

 

Light Heavyweight Bout: Gian Villante (10-3) vs. Ovince St. Preux (12-5)

Luke Irwin: O-S-P!! O-S-P!! O-S-P!! Oh, I haven’t forgotten the great OSP craze of ’10-’11. I like both of these guys and they’ve both paid their dues to get here. Their skills sets, resume, and level are roughly the same, as well. Both evenly matched fighters, so I gotta pick one. St. Preux via SD.

Tim Bernier: For awhile there OSP wasn’t on the list of fighters from Strikeforce that were for sure coming over. Had me worried for a bit, as I think he’s got some potential. OSP by decision. OSP is exposed.

Tim Hickey: A battle between two Strikeforce prospects, with more than likely a job on the line. I think OSP is a much more dangerous striker and could look to make a statement by coming out aggressive early. OSP via KO 1st Rd.

Josh Hall: OSP is one of the more athletic guys in MMA, and I think that will be too much for Villante to overcome. OSP by unanimous decision in an entertaining fight.

Nolan Howell: While Gian Villante has some power, Ovince St. Preux is the more well-rounded fighter and can do whatever he wants. Ovince St. Preux by unanimous decision.

 

Women’s Bantamweight Bout: Sara McMann (6-0) vs. Sheila Gaff (10-4-1)

Luke Irwin: This is a big Sara McMann house here and I’ve said for some time that she’s going to be the one to take down Ronda. This is a good test for her, as Gaff can do a little bit of everything and is a nasty striker. However, her strength-of-schedule is still lacking. Her best win is over Aisling Daly, who’s a fun and game fighter, but not the same level that McMann has beat. Good introductory fight for Sara in the UFC. McMann via R2 Submission.

Tim Bernier: I’m not going to pretend like I know a lot about Gaff. But I do know about McMann, and I can read Wikipedia entries. McMann will take this easily and convincingly, the only question is whether she subs Gaff or not. I don’t think she will. McMann by decision.

Tim Hickey: The women bantamweight division’s other Olympic medalist, McMann is an explosive wrestler who has put together an undefeated record in MMA. She is facing German fighter Sheila Gaff, who when she last fought over a year ago, she decided to go straight gangsta and instead of touching gloves with her opponent, she decided to punch her right in the face. I expect McMann to use her world class wrestling to take this fight to the ground and use good ground and pound to win this fight. McMann via TKO 3rd Rd.

Josh Hall: Sara McMann is quickly becoming one of my favorite fighters in MMA, and this is a showcase fight for her. Gaff will come at her early, but the elite wrestling of McMann should be the deciding factor here. McMAnn via lopsided unanimous decision.

Nolan Howell: Sara McMann is going to give Ronda Rousey some stiff competition in the futrue and Sheila Gaff is just a bump in the road that will be trucked on the way. Sara McMann by second-round TKO.

 

Bantamweight Bout: Bryan Caraway (17-6) vs. Johnny Bedford (19-9-1)

Luke Irwin: My pick for FOTN here. Caraway is puke on the feet but fun, fluid, and creative on the ground. Bedford is a mystery to me. He’s beaten good fighters and lost to shitty ones, he’s lost in front of 25 people, but won in front of thousands. He’s the definition of a wild card. I think this is a hellstorm on the ground with Caraway catching the journeyman. Caraway via R3 Submission.

Tim Bernier: The downgrade from an Erik Perez fight to a Bryan Caraway fight is so disappointing. I hope Bedford brings some violence. Bedford by decision.

Tim Hickey: For the first time in his UFC career, Johnny Bedford is not fighting in the month of December. He is facing a fellow TUF castmate Caraway on very short notice when Erik Perez pulled out of the fight. I think with Bedford having a full camp, he should be able to take this fight. Bedford via decision.

Josh Hall: Caraway has a good submission game, which has been Bedford’s one big weakness. But I think taking the fight on short notice will prove detrimental, and Bedford’s constant attack eventually overwhelms Caraway. Bedford via 2nd round TKO.

Nolan Howell: Bryan Caraway is the worst, but he should win this fight. However, given he is in on short-notice, he won’t. Johnny Bedford’s pace will be too much. Johnny Bedford by second-round TKO.

 

Featherweight Bout: Cody McKenzie (13-3) vs. Leonard Garcia (15-10-1)

Luke Irwin: Hatehatehatehatehate. This is a hater’s dream fight. I’ll never forgive Marcus LeVesseur for fighting the absolute dumbest fight since I once watched a villager walk into a dragon’s mouth in Skyrim against McKenzie and extending his shelf life. This is probably for both fighters’ jobs. Garcia is a windmill, but McKenzie is just terrible. Garcia via R2 TKO.

Tim Bernier: What do ya know, it is 2013 and I’m picking Leonard Garcia to win a fight in the UFC. There aren’t many more beatable fighters than Cody McKenzie, as funny as his MMA career has been to watch. He won’t get the necessary TD’s or McKenzitine, and Garcia is going to wing his fists through the air like it’s the thing he was put on this earth to do. But this time, Cody McKenzie is bad enough to get hit by those fists, unlike most fighters. Garcia by decision.

Tim Hickey: Another fight with a potential job on the line. Garcia is a favorite of Dana and Lorenzo, but you would have to think if he loses his 5th fight in a row he has to be out of a job. Fortunately for him he is facing McKenzie, who’s only weapon is the guillotine choke. Expect lots of swing at air in this one. Garcia via decision.

Josh Hall: In what must be a loser leaves town match, I’ll take the windmilling punches of Garcia over the desperate grab for the neck by Cody, though I hope I’m wrong. Garcia via 1st round KO.

Nolan Howell: This is my main event. Let me tell you guys, the cursed power of Leonard Garcia will be too much for the fragile Cody McKenzie. Expect him to knock whatever brain is left in McKenzie’s head silly. Leonard Garcia by first-round KO.

 

Featherweight Bout: Kurt Holobaugh (9-1) vs. Steven Siler (21-10)

Luke Irwin: Six months ago, Holobaugh was fighting a winless opponent at Fight Force International: Blood And Sand 13 in Biloxi. Since then, he got dominated by Pat Healy. Nope. Siler via R1 Submission.

Tim Bernier: I originally thought Siler had more potential than he actually did, coming off his wins against Cole Miller and Joey Gambino. He ran into a much better Elkins and my expectations have readjusted. I do think he’s better than Kurt Holobaugh, however. Siler by decision.

Tim Hickey: Siler via decision.

Josh Hall: Holobaugh gave a good showing at LW against Pat Healy, but Siler has a knack for getting guys necks early, and that what I’m predicting here. Siler via 1st round guillotine.

Nolan Howell: People are very high on Kurt Holobaugh because Pat Healy fought stupid against him. Sadly for him, Steven Siler is not that bad at all and will be a UFC prelims staple for a good bit. Steven Siler by first-round submission.

Morning After Drill: UFC on FOX

 

 

Contributor: Josh Hall

Well, this event was just pure fun.  The UFC record for finishes in a card was matched with eight knockouts, and certainly quite a few of the highlight reel variety.  There was some controversy regarding a couple of decisions, but all in all fans cannot ask for much more, especially from a free card.  Here is what stood out to me from the event:

Yoel Romero made a hell of a statement in his UFC debut.  At 35 years old, it is time for him to sink or swim, and I hope the UFC gives him a giant step up in competition next time out.  His flying knee on Clifford Starks was a thing of beauty, and he showed great finishing instincts to put him away once he got him hurt.

Do not charge into an Anthony Njokuani left hook, at least if your value consciousness.  Roger Bowling had his moments early on, but once Njokuani found his range it was only a matter of time before he landed a finishing blow.  Kudos to Anthony for not administering any unnecessary damage after Bowling was out.

TJ Dilleshaw was not intimidated by the wild striking attacks of Hugo Viana, and he put him down violently late in the first round.  The improvement in his striking under the tutelage of former UFC fighter Duane “Bang” Ludwig was quite apparent in this fight.

Jorge Masvidal and Tim Means had a really good, back and forth technical battle.  Both men had their moments, but the wrestling of Masvidal proved to be the difference in this fight.  Means never quit, battering Masvidal with elbows from his back, but in the end the 37 fight veteran snapped the winning streak of “The Dirty Bird”.

Joseph Benavidez had no business in the same cage as Darren Uyenoyama.  No disrespect intended, but Benavidez was able to do anything he wanted in this fight, finally breaking Uyenoyama with a nasty liver kick, followed by a left hook to the liver that dropped Darren like a sack of potatoes.  Benavidez also showed the Ludwig influence, having tightened up his striking a good deal.

Ramsey Nijem got starched by Miles Jury.  He ran straight into a right hand, and was stiff before he hit the ground.  Jury continues to show he is a really talented fighter as long as he is nowhere near the TUF house.  If he can stay healthy, he is young enough to be a factor at 155 for a long time to come.

Francis Carmont stifled the dynamic offense of Lorenz Larkin and won a questionable unanimous decision in the lowlight of the preliminary card.  There was a great deal of outrage over the decision, and while I don’t agree with it, I disagree with the other side too.  Watching live, I scored the 1st round 10-10, with Larkin winning the second and Carmont the third.  Upon second viewing, I stand by my decision.  Neither man did enough to win the fight on my card, and the lack of urgency in this fight was as disappointing as the decision.

Duane Freaking Ludwig.  Team Alpha Male completed the clean sweep of knockouts when Chad Mendes absolutely steamrolled Darren Elkins.  Elins had been very impressive in his winning streak, and with this type of performance Mendes moves much closer to the rematch with Jose Aldo he so greatly desires.  Team Alpha Male is not just a bunch of good wrestlers anymore.

Matt Brown is everything that is awesome about MMA.  He isn’t all that physically gifted, his record is nothing that will blow you away, and he was within an eyelash of being released from the UFC.  Now he has won 5 straight fights, including derailing the large hype trains of Stephen Thompson and, last night, highly touted prospect Jordan Mein.  Brown’s straight forward, non stop assault was too much for the young but talented Canadian.  Both men had their moments in a first round that gets my vote right now for round of the year, but in the second round Brown flat out blitzed Mein, finishing him quickly.  Brown has earned a top ten opponent in his next fight, and probably a job with the UFC for quite a while.

Holy headkicks, Josh Thomson.  The Punk became the first person to stop Nate Diaz, and in the most bizarre way possible.  I would have never believed I would see a Diaz brother in a fight where his corner would throw in the towel because of the massive damage he was taking.  After Diaz walked through 2 solid head kicks in the first round, the third was the charm for Thomson, who looked better than he has in many years.  He instantly vaults somewhere into the title hunt at lightweight.

Frank Mir had nothing for Daniel Cormier in a less than scintillating fight.  Cormier was extremely impressive though, showing a massive speed advantage over the former UFC HW champion, but also an incredible strength advantage, especially for a man giving up 22 pounds and 4 inches in height.  The only break from the clinch Mir could get was from referee Herb Dean, who did not appear to be the least interested in allowing the battle against the cage to continue.

Gilbert Melendez did not get robbed against Benson Henderson.  It was a very close fight, and scores for both men are perfectly justifiable.  I personally thought Henderson did enough to win rounds 2-4, but it was not the easiest fight to score.  Sometimes, there isn’t a clear and definite winner.  This was one of hose times.  On a side note, I was really disappointed in the San Jose crowd for booing Benson while he proposed to his woman.  I’m not a big fan of a public proposal, but a little common decency isn’t too much to ask for, in my opinion.

 

-Josh can be reached @jhall282.

Staff Picks: UFC on FOX Henderson vs. Diaz

 

 

Rosenthal League

Nolan Howell: 69-26, .726

Tim Hickey: 49-19, .721

Benjamin Kohn: 33-13, .717

Daniel Galvan: 19-8, .704

Tim Bernier: 23-11, .676

Christian Diaz: 23-12, .657

Winslow League

Josh Hall: 38-21, .644

Connor Dillon: 44-25, .638

Chris Groves: 30-19, .612

Lucas Bourdon: 7-5, .583

TC Engel: 20-20, .500

Luke Irwin: 57-58, .496

(After last week, we see a shift in the standings, as “Rollin” Nolan Howell reclaims his throne as king of kings, while Josh Hall falls into the Winslow [NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!] League, and yours truly falls into the deep, deep cellar. Even below TC, and that’s the worst.)

UFC Lightweight Championship: Benson Henderson (c) (18-2) vs. Gilbert Melendez (21-2)

Luke Irwin: Josh Thomson laid out a pretty convincing plan on how to beat Gil, and Bendo is a few levels above Josh and does everything he does better. On the flip side, Frankie Edgar laid out how to beat Bendo, but the difference is I don’t think Gil can do what Frankie can do. Henderson via UD.

Tim Hickey: In what I am anticipating should be a great fight, two of the best lightweights in the world will square off for that number 1 spot. I will be the first to admit I have been a Melendez mark for years, and really looking forward to him making his debut in the UFC. Even tho Benson has faced tougher competition over the last year and a half, I think as long as Melendez mixes up his boxing with takedowns, he can keep the champ off balance and take home a decision. Melendez via UD.

Ben Kohn: Bendo by UD- Bendo is just a better fighter and better athlete. He also has the size advantage so there really isn’t much Gil can do here.

Tim Bernier: Man I am pumped for this card. I’ve been looking forward to it for quite awhile. Benson Henderson’s rise to the top of the 155 pound division is nothing short of remarkable. I’ve been less impressed by Melendez lately. Benson’s quick striking attack combined with his ability to transition between the phases of striking and grappling seamlessly is going to wear out Gilbert quickly. My only question is whether or not Benson gets the finish. This will look more like his fights with Nate Diaz and Jim Miller than the Edgar fights. Benson Henderson by Unanimous Decision.

Nolan Howell: This fight is a clash of two very talented fighters. However, for Gilbert Melendez, I can’t really see a path to victory. Benson Henderson has the advantage in wrestling, grappling, and variety in striking. The standup technique is relatively close, but Henderson has more tools to choose from, namely using his tree trunk legs to kick. Melendez will be game, but this doesn’t seem all that close to me. Ben Henderson by unanimous decision.

Josh Hall: I have seen a lot of people that say Melendez is being slept on here. If those people are right, I am one of the guilty. I think the first two rounds will be relatively close, but eventually the champion wears the challenger down, winning a rather lopsided fight in the latter rounds. Ben Henderson via unanimous decision.

 

Heavyweight Bout: Daniel Cormier (11-0) vs. Frank Mir (16-6)

Luke Irwin: I think Mir is in for a world of hurt here. Not saying Cormier won’t get caught, because anyone can get caught, especially to Mir, but it’s Cormier’s positional awareness and dominance that sets him apart. Over five rounds, he was never in trouble against Josh Barnett, who may be the only heavyweight in the world to claim better grappling submission chops than Mir. Mir’s chin is much lesser than Josh’s too. Cormier via R2 TKO.

Tim Hickey: This is a nightmare matchup for Mir. A lightening quick striker with solid footwork, world class wrestling and knock out power. Despite a significant size advantage, unless Mir is able to pull guard or work for a trip takedown to get this fight to the ground, I can’t see how he wins this fight. Cormier via 2nd Rd TKO.

Ben Kohn: Cormier by KO rd 2- Cormier was able to dominate Josh Barnett and that is the most comparable matchup I can think of. Mir will not be able to take down Cormier and he is to slow imo to beat Cormier on the feet. If he had Barnetts chin, I would say he loses by decision but all of Mir’s losses are by KO and I see another one coming up for him.

Tim Bernier: Excellent, excellent fight. It’s got all of the tools for an exciting fight. Cormier is going to do great things in the UFC. He’s going to be the hell out of Mir. That isn’t a knock against Mir. Mir can and will submit everyone in the Heavyweight division but the top 5 or 6 guys. But this is a horrible stylistic matchup for him, and Cormier is just better at this point. I think this looks a lot like the Barnett fight, and I’m going a little more conservative than most and picking Cormier by Unanimous Decision.

Nolan Howell: If this goes to the ground, I could see Daniel Cormier getting sloppy and Frank Mir snapping a limb. Sadly, Cormier can dictate where this fight takes place with ease. On the feet, Mir could very well have the sharper striking. That said, I don’t trust him not to get caught and Cormier is not a guy you want to get caught by. Cormier has the power edge both on the feet and on the ground, so expect him to use that to control the fight until he can put Mir away. Daniel Cormier by first-round KO.

Josh Hall: I am all over the Cormier hype train here. I personally think it is not a matter of if, but when in this fight. Mir’s only advantage is in the submission game, and Daniel Cormier is the best wrestler he has ever faced. I expect this fight to be reminiscent of the Mir/JDS fight, and I will pick the same ending here. Cormier via 2nd round KO.

 

Lightweight Bout: Josh Thomson (19-5) vs. Nate Diaz (16-8)

Luke Irwin: Should be a fun, quick, striking match. Nate says this is his last bout at lightweight, so it’s easy to question his motivation, but it’s also Josh’s first fight in the UFC since 2004, so it’ll be hard to assess how he does on the big stage. Still, I see a fun matchup on the feet with Josh getting shorted on the scorecards again. Diaz via SD.

Tim Hickey: I have always thought that Thomson was criminally underrated while in Strikeforce, as he is a well rounded, tenacious and has a great chin. That being said, Nate Diaz is a handful on the feet and on the floor and I expect him to box up Thomson over the course of 3 rounds. Diaz via decision.

Ben Kohn: Thomson via UD. Nate’s biggest weaknesses are his plodding stance and his lack of speed/athleticism. Josh has extremely fast hands and his transitions between striking and takedowns is beautiful. I think he will be able to mix in his quick hands with some nice leg kicks, throw in some takedowns and take a decision.

Tim Bernier: Josh Thomson isn’t a bad fighter. He’s been impressive, even in his losses. Nate Diaz is just better. His striking at times can be scary good. I’m looking for a little more consistency out of him, but I think he takes this handily. Nate Diaz by Unanimous Decision.

Nolan Howell: This is another fight that I don’t see as being all that close. On the feet, Nate Diaz will use his reach to pop Josh Thomson at will. On the ground, Nate Diaz has the submissions advantage and likely has sufficient enough takedown defense to fend off Josh Thomson. Again, not unlike his former foe Gil Melendez, Thomson can make this a scrappy fight, but it won’t be enough. Nate Diaz by unanimous decision.

Josh Hall: I think this is the toughest fight to call on the card. I thought Josh Thomson beat Melendez in his last fight (judges decision aside), but I think Diaz is a bad matchup for him. I think Diaz is able to do more work with his hands in this fight, and I don’t see Thomson doing enough on the ground to win this fight. I do expect this to be VERY close though. Screw it, Josh Thomson via split decision.

 

Welterweight Bout: Jordan Mein (27-8) vs. Matt Brown (16-11)

Luke Irwin: OH ‘DIS GON’ BE GOOD! Brown is a tough motherfucker, but so is Dan Miller. Brown’s never been finished by strikes, but neither was Dan Mller. I think it’ll be a hell of a firefight, and I think Brown is nutty enough to go the distance, but he doesn’t have the physical tools that Mein has. Mein via UD.

Tim Hickey: Matt Brown is coming off a career reviving 2012 in which he went 4-0 which included derailing the Wonderboy hype train and a vicious KO of Mike Swick. He has proven time and again he is as tough as nails and loves to drag people into an exhausting fight. As mentioned here before, I am very high on Mein and think he can reach the upper echelons of the division. Coming off a TKO of the previously unfinished Dan Miller, I expect Mein to take this one. Mein via decision.

Ben Kohn: Mein by UD- Matt Brown’s resurgence has been awesome to watch but it comes to an end here. While he won’t KO him, Mein will beat Matt on the feet for 3 rounds.

Tim Bernier: MATT BROWN BLOODY ELBOW FIGHTER OF THE YEAR IS GOING TO TAKE IT TO THIS STRIKEFORCE BUM. All kidding aside, Jordan Mein’s textbooks armbar escape and brutal, composed finish of Dan Miller should have Matt Brown scared. Mein is going to be able to take advantage of Brown’s simply subpar striking abilities. This is going to be one sided violence. Mein by Submission.

Nolan Howell: A lot of folks are riding the Jordan Mein hype train. After thrashing one of the toughest guys in the game in Dan Miller, it isn’t unjust. Against Matt Brown, Jordan Mein could be facing some problems, especially given the fact that he took this fight on short notice. While there is a good chance for a gritty win for Brown here, Mein has enough fight IQ to stand at range and do what he does best. Jordan Mein by first-round TKO.

Josh Hall: I don’t want to watch this fight, or make a prediction here. I am a huge Matt Brown fan, and Jordan Mein is likely to do terrible things to him. I’ve been really high on him since beat Evangelista Santos to a living death with standing elbows, and I don’t see Brown having the answers here. I’ll say Mein rocks him in the second, then secures a choke for the finish. Sigh. Mein via 2nd round submission.

 

Featherweight Bout: Chad Mendes (13-1) vs. Darren Elkins (16-2)

Luke Irwin: Love, LOVE this matchup. Was calling for it after Elkins’s destruction of Antonio Carvalho. This will be great for both men. Elkins gets his considerable step up, and Mendes gets to fight a tough, tough wrestler, which he seldom does. Whoever wins is in the title hunt. This is definitely going the distance, I just think Mendes is a tad better and can outquick Elkins, who’s more of a big grinder at FW. Mendes via SD.

Tim Hickey: For the first time since losing to Jose Aldo back in Jan of 2012, Chad Mendes is fighting a top 10 fighter. Elkins is taking this fight on short notice after starching Antonio Carvalho last month at UFC 158 and is riding high. The problem for him is that Mendes is better than him everywhere, and outside of landing a bomb, I think Elkins is in for a tough night. Mendes via decision.

Ben Kohn: Mendes by UD- Elkins is the rightful underdog and while he has looked extremely impressive in his win streak, which is the longest in the division, he has yet to face anyone like Mendes. Mendes is a better athlete and better in Elkins best skill which is wrestling. I think Mendes can take this fight wherever he wants to and although he won’t put him away, he will dominate him to get a UD.

Tim Bernier: After Mendes’ loss to Aldo, he got two ridiculously easy matchups with Cody McKenzie and Yaotzin Meza. He’s finally getting a step up in competition, but it’s still not as high as I’d like. Mendes is a -750 favorite at the moment and I see no reason to disagree with that. Mendes by Unanimous Decision.

Nolan Howell: Darren Elkins is going to have major staying power at featherweight and could even surprise some top-ten guys. Unfortunately, Chad Mendes has solid enough technique on the feet and is a lot better at the grind that Elkins is known for. Mendes can control this fight wherever and could even pull off a finish, but we know what the safe choice is. Chad Mendes by unanimous decision.

Josh Hall: Mendes is a giant favorite on the money line, but I’m not so sure on this one. Both men win most of their fights via decision, but neither has ever actually been on the losing end of one. My heart says Elkins here, but my brain says to go with Mendes. Ugh, Mendes by unanimous decision I guess.

 

Middleweight Bout: Francis Carmont (20-7) vs. Lorenz Larkin (13-0)

Luke Irwin: This is a rough matchup for Larkin, even at middleweight. I can see Carmont having his way with him on the ground early and often. Carmont via R1 Submission.

Tim Hickey: Continuing in the Strikeforce vs UFC theme, two middleweight prospects square off in Carmont vs Larkin. While Larkin is technically undefeated, we saw him get smashed up by a roided up King Mo in Strikeforce, and showed he didn’t have great takedown defense. Expect Carmont to do exactly that and try to grind Larkin out for 15 mins. Carmont via decision.

Ben Kohn: Larkin by KO rd 2- Let’s put it this way. Carmont is not good, even if we all want him to be. Larkin is good and should be able to takedown Carmont and beat the hell out of him getting a stoppage in the second.

Tim Bernier: Carmont can have a suffocating (read: boring) wrestling style at times when he isn’t active. He gasses too hard. I think he has his hands full with whoever he fights from this point on. Larkin isn’t bad and has won his way up the prospect ladder, but at this point Carmont is better. Carmont by another Decision.

Nolan Howell: Francis Carmont is a very lackadaisical fighter. He has some nice finishing power, but he seems to negate that with his tendency to fight down. For Lorenz Larkin, he’ll need to fight up and be ready to go for it for fifteen. Unfortunately, that doesn’t seem likely and Larkin’s weird striking will find its mark over and over again. Lorenz Larkin by unanimous decision.

Josh Hall: I think Larkin is the fighter with far greater upside here, but Carmont is the kind of fighter that poses problems for the flashy striker. If Larkin wins, he is likely to put Carmont on his highlight reel, and if Carmont wins this could be the most dull fight on the card. I am unfortunately predicting the latter. Carmont via ugly grinding decision.

 

Lightweight Bout: Myles Jury (11-0) vs. Ramsey Nijem (7-2)

Luke Irwin: Ehhhh…Nijem isn’t a bad fighter, but his best win is over Joe Proctor, and he hardly dominated that. Jury looked like an absolute force in his last fight as he humbled Michael Johnson something ferocious. I don’t think this one’s close. Jury via R1 Submission.

Tim Hickey: Hey look, it is the standard “Couple of TUF guys” fighting. Jury looked great in a straight up domination of Michael Johnson in his last fight, which I haven’t been super impressed with Nijem. Jury via decision.

Ben Kohn: Nijem by UD- Nijem has really come along nicely since his stint on TUF. He can wrestler, he can box, he has cardio, he has heart, and he has a good chin to. I see him winning a good but not great fight en route to a decision.

Tim Bernier: Hey look! TUF fighters! Myles Jury and Michael Johnson lost me a good bit of money in Vegas. Fuck Myles Jury. Myles Jury by decision.

Nolan Howell: Ramsey Nijem is a fun fighter that is usually pretty entertaining. However, it is very rare to see Nijem not put himself in some kind of trouble. Myles Jury is likely to exploit that, as Nijem’s winging punches or constant movement on the ground leave plenty of room to get caught. Myles Jury by first-round submission.

Josh Hall: I like Ramsey, but if the same Jury shows up that did against Michael Johnson, he is in for a long night. Jury by dominant decision.

 

Flyweight Bout: Darren Uyenoyama (8-3) vs. Joseph Benavidez (17-3)

Luke Irwin: John Moraga is still next on deck for DJ, but this fight could, and probably will, signal who is next in line. JoeB is still the undisputed #2 Flyweight in the world, and either he adds another impressive win to his resume, or Darren gets the win of his life and dibs on Mighty Mouse. Still, I think JoeB is too much. Benavidez via UD.

Tim Hickey: In what could be considered a title eliminator in the relatively weak flyweight division, this should be a fun and exciting matchup. The problem is that Benavidez is just flat out a better fighter than Uyenoyama, and I suspect that will be evident by the end of the fight. Benavidez via 2nd round guillotine.

Ben Kohn: Benavidez by Sub rd 2- This fight is gonna be freaking awesome! I think Joe-B will outstrike and eventually hurt Darren on the feet and will pull off the Alpha Male guillotine. However, Darren is one hell of a live dog and if it goes to the ground, Joe-B needs to watch out for this grappling experts submissions.

Tim Bernier: Ahh, another Darren Uyenoyama fight. Looks like I’m muting the commentary. Benavidez outclasses him. Benavidez by Submission.

Nolan Howell: Darren Uyenoyama’s grappling is a treat, but aside from that, Joseph Benavidez has this fight handily. He could negate Uyenoyama’s grappling with his power submissions and top-game, but this will be contested on the feet. Joseph Benavidez will solidify his role as flyweight Fitch in terms of rankings. Joseph Benavidez by second-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Benavidez has way better standup and wrestling, so I see him controlling all aspects of this fight. Benavidez via unanimous decision.

 

Lightweight Bout: Jorge Masvidal (23-7) vs. Tim Means (18-3-1)

Luke Irwin: Well, Means seems to have survived the sauna this time around, so with that in mind, this is my FOTN pick right here. Gonna be an all-out battle. Three years ago, Masvidal was losing to Luis Palomino in G-Force Fights and Means was toiling in KOTC undercards. That should bring hope to every regional and indie fighter out there. That being said, Means likes to bang, bro, and Masvidal has the kind of fire to return volley. Masvidal via R3 TKO.

Tim Hickey: My pick for a potential FOTN winner. Means is a killer, having finished 4 of his last 5 opponents, all of the finishes in the 1st round. While I don’t expect that to happen here, as Masdival is extremely tough (he hasn’t been finished since that absolutely ridiculous inverted triangle that Toby Imada caught him in back in 2009) Expect this to be a 3 round war. Means via decision.

Ben Kohn: Masvidal by UD- This fight is gonna be fun. Masvidal is a seasoned vet with 30 fights but is still only 28! He has good hands, good kicks, good wrestling, and a smothering top game. Means is striker with power and that is always dangerous. However I think Masvidal can avoid the big punches and grind out a decision.

Tim Bernier: Tim Means and Jorge Masvidal are going to fight, provided Means doesn’t slip in the sauna again. I’m not sold on Masvidal, but I’m less sold on Means. Masvidal by Decision.

Nolan Howell: I’m fully expecting some ultraviolence in this fight. Jorge Masvidal is tougher than a two-dollar steak and relies on striking to either put his opponent out or pummel them to a decision. Tim Means seems to be willing to exchange, and with his length, why wouldn’t he be? Masvidal is probably the better striker, but if Means uses his reach, I see something getting through on an upset alert. Tim Means by second-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Tim Means has one of the most interesting stories in MMA. From jail time, to the cancellation of UFC 151, to suffering the first KO of his career at the hands of a hot tub, the lanky LW is 2-0 in the UFC, coming off a violent KO win over Justin Salas. Jorge Masvidal brings 30 fights of experience into his UFC debut. I’ll take the vet to win a tough war in a sleeper for FOTN. Masvidal by decision.

 

Bantamweight Bout: Hugo Viana (7-0) vs. TJ Dillashaw (7-1)

Luke Irwin: History shows that fighters taking on accomplished wrestlers for the first time seldom works out well for them. Dillashaw via UD.

Tim Hickey: In a battle of bantamweight prospect, I expect Dillashaw to continue to raise his stock with another very nice victory here. Dillashaw via 1st round KO.

Ben Kohn: Dillishaw by UD- TJ is better than Viana and will cruise to an easy UD since I doubt he will finish him.

Tim Bernier: I’ve been impressed by TJ Dillashaw in his early UFC career. He’s an Alpha Male guy, but I might like him. I can’t say the same about the TUF fighter who beat a guy who lost 3 of his 4 UFC fights. Violence. Dillashaw by KO.

Nolan Howell: People are putting a lot of stock in Hugo Viana’s KO of Reuben Duran, neglecting the fact that he hasn’t finished an opponent otherwise. TJ Dillashaw is too strong and has the mighty wrestling advantage. He can likely hang on the feet, but he ultimately can stifle his opponent if he feels threatened. TJ DIllashaw by unanimous decision.

Josh Hall: This fight doesn’t interest me very much, to be honest. Dillashaw via 2nd round KO.

 

Lightweight Bout: Anthony Njokuani (15-7) vs. Roger Bowling (11-3)

Luke Irwin: Dating back to WEC 50, Njokuani has alternated wins and losses every fight. He lost his last one, so here comes the W! I think Bowling will try and stand with Njo to make an impression in his UFC debut, and I believe that will end poorly for him. Njokuani via R2 TKO.

Tim Hickey: Njokuani via decision.

Ben Kohn: Njokuani by KO rd 1- Njokuani is a striker and Bowling is not. Bowling needs a takedown or he will get knocked out and I don’t think he will get it.

Tim Bernier: Remember when Njokuani knocked out Chris Horodecki? That was awesome. Njokuani by KO.

Nolan Howell: Roger Bowling likes to knock folks out and is an average wrestler. Anthony Njokuani is better at what Bowling likes to do and can stifle grappling, or at least grapplers the level of Bowling. Anthony Njokuani by first-round KO.

Josh Hall: Bowling was once a very highly touted prospect, but hasn’t quite lived up to the potential he showed early on, going 3-3 in his past 6 fights. I think the stand up of Njokuani will be the difference here, and he wins a decisive 3 round decision. Njokuani via unanimous decision.

 

Middleweight Bout: Clifford Starks (8-1) vs. Yoel Romero (4-1)

Luke Irwin: Remember when Clifford Starks was on the main card of a PPV? Yikes. Anyway, I like Romero here. Pairing him up with Feijao was a huge mismatch, as Rafael is one of the best in the world at neutralizing someone’s wrestling and takedowns and making them pay dearly (see: Mo, King). Starks does not possess such attributes. Romero via UD.

Tim Hickey: Starks via decision.

Ben Kohn: Romero by KO rd 1- When you put two wrestlers together, it usually becomes a shitty striking match. However when you put an Olympian wrestler with good and powerful striking vs. a pretty standard wrestle-boxing style, you get a first round finish.

Tim Bernier: Uh… Yeah. Yep. Sure why not. Romero by KO.

Nolan Howell: Yoel Romero has a good wrestling background and trucked some fighters at 205. His only loss is to Rafael Cavalcante, which is nothing to be ashamed of. Sorry, Clifford Starks, just don’t see anything you can do here. Yoel Romero by first-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Romero is a highly touted prospect, but at 35 it is now or never for him. I think he gets it done here in violent fashion against an over matched Clifford Starks. Romero via 1st round KO.

Ben’s Breakdowns: Henderson vs. Melendez

 

 

Contributor: Benjamin Kohn

Benson Henderson defends his UFC Lightweight title for the third time against Cesar Gracie fighter and former Strikeforce Lightweight champion Gilbert Melendez. After spending years in Strikeforce as their Lightweight champion and claiming to be the number 1 Lightweight in the world, Gilbert Melendez finally gets his chance to prove whether he really is number 1.

Benson Henderson has been on an absolute tear since losing his WEC belt to Anthony Pettis in the last WEC event ever. He has gone 6-0, winning the title in his 4th fight and defending it 2 times after. Although all his fights have gone to a decision, he has put on fantastic and dominating performances in almost all of bouts leaving no doubt who the better fighter was that night. His most recent dismantling of fellow Cesar Gracie fighter and teammate of Gil Melendez, Nate Diaz, was a true shellacking in which Bendo completely dominated every aspect of that fight in a five round fight that really resembled a big brother beatdown.

Gilbert Melendez was the Strikeforce Lightweight champion and when Strikeforce went belly up, he became their last Lightweight champion. Melendez is on a 7 fight winning streak and has successfully defended his Lightweight championship 4 times before Strikeforce folded. Melendez has long claimed he is the number 1 Lightweight in the world and he has definitely shown to be a dominating force in his division. Dominating performances over the likes of Jorge Masvidal, Shinya Aoki, and Tatsuya Kawajiri helped to cement Gil’s claim as a legitimate threat to Bendo’s throne. Now he finally gets his chance to prove himself on the biggest stage of his career. Now let’s get right down to the breakdown of how this fight will play out.

Striking: This one is pretty tricky for me to decide who the better striker is really. Bendo comes from a Tae-kwon-do background and it definitely shows through in his fights. His massive thighs definitely come in handy as he fires roundhouse kicks without any step up at all. This allows him to kick without giving his opponent the extra second of that step-up that Muay Thai fighters have. During his fights with Frankie and Nate, those rear leg roundhouse kicks were essential in his game plan (although he for some odd reason abandoned them in the second Edgar fight). In his fight with Nate Diaz, Benson was able to kick Diaz’s lead leg out from under him multiple times which really allowed Bendo to set up other techniques. While his boxing appeared much improved in his Diaz fight (and it definitely did), many of the opportunities to throw punches were set up through his usage of kicks. The fact that Nate had to worry about the kicks, and Bendo didn’t have to worry about the takedown, it opened up many different opportunities for Bendo. His boxing is rather simple and limited to a powerful but nothing special left straight and a nice right hook. Bendo’s striking is not very flashy and he is not a perfect technician. His athleticism and fight IQ however make up for what he lacks in technique.

Gilbert comes from the vaunted Cesar Gracie camp and watching him fight, it is quite apparent. His stance immediately reminds me of the Diaz brothers and that immediately sets off warning bells in my head. In his fight with Jorge Masvidal in the first round, Jorge threw a leg kick that swept Melendez right off his feet. Sound familiar? This issue is something that Melendez should take heed of and learn from Bendo’s fight with Nate. If he doesn’t, it will be a long night for him. Now the difference in styles between him and Diaz are there and that is why the fight may turn out different on the feet. While Gil does stand in a similar side on stance, his punches are more powerful and there is much less volume. His punches are not as straight as the Diaz brothers although his 1-2 are definitely very effective. He is more athletic than the Diaz brothers which allows him to enter and exit, evade and dodge punches more effectively rather than sticking his very solid chin out and taking the punishment. He has good head movement but doesn’t throw a lot of kicks. He generally outclasses his opponents on the feet and therefore doesn’t really show much urgency in some of his fights to finish and overmatched opponent.

Overall, neither fighter is really a superior striker although both of them have shown the ability to dominate the standup in their respective organizations. I will however give the edge to Bendo because of his kicks being a key to victory with Gil’s stance.

Wrestling/Clinch: Both Bendo and Gil have some very good wrestling. Both are also brown belts in BJJ. Both have heavy top games with powerful ground and pound styles. They are very similar models to each other in that regard. However when it comes to wrestling between two similarly styled fighters, it often comes down to who the better athlete is. Bendo is bigger, stronger and faster than Gil and that will be all the difference in this fight when it comes to wrestling. Edge goes to Bendo.    

Grappling: Both are brown belts as I have mentioned although both prefer ground and pound. Bendo prefers to choke his opponents when he goes for submissions which are not very often and Gil’s only submission win is by strikes. Neither has shown much prowess off of their backs so I will call this even.

General athleticism: Bendo takes the cake on this one easily. He is bigger, stronger, faster, and also two years younger. Edge to Bendo.

  Fight IQ/cornering: We all know how notorious the Cesar camp is for the cornering and that may hurt them in this fight. Bendo fights tend to go to decision nowadays and they may tell Gil that he won a round he lost. He needs to make sure he wins the rounds because his corner may not tell him otherwise. Bendo generally fights smart but he does tend to have mental lapses here in there. He does not always pay attention to where the cage is and will find himself with his back against the cage. He needs to stay out in the open as getting stuck against the cage is not a good thing unless you’re Anderson Silva.

Strength of Schedule: This matters a lot in my opinion and will definitely show in the fight. Gilbert has looked great against less than stellar competition. The highest ranked fighter he has fought at the time of their fight was I believe Aoki. He struggled in his trilogy fights with a top 20 guy at best in Josh Thompson. Bendo on the other hand has been through a gauntlet of top ten talents. Guida, Miller, Frankie twice and Diaz are one hell of a murderer’s row Bendo came out on top every time. Bendo’s competition was just at a way higher level than Gil’s and that matters a lot. Bendo gets a huge edge here.

When it comes down to it, while Gil is definitely a talented fighter who deserves to be in the top ten, I just don’t think he really has anything that can put Bendo in trouble. While I don’t think Bendo will be able to finish Gil, I think a dominant decision is going to be the outcome in this fight.

Benson Henderson by Unanimous Decision 50-45.

 

-Ben can be reached at steroidben57@yahoo.com or @agentbenten

UFC TUF Finale 17: Staff Picks

 

Staff Standings:

Rosenthal League

Benjamin Kohn: 33-13, .717

Daniel Galvan: 19-8, .704

Nolan Howell: 49-22, .690

Josh Hall: 24-11, .686

Tim Bernier: 23-11, .676

Tim Hickey: 29-15, .659

Winslow League

Christian Diaz: 23-12, .657

Chris Groves: 30-19, .612

Lucas Bourdon: 7-5, .583

Connor Dillon: 26-19, .578

Luke Irwin: 48-44, .522

TC Engel: 20-20, .500

(Our battered blue belt, Ben Kohn, takes over the top spot after a stellarly-picked Fuel card.  Luckily, your editor is still kept out of the deep basement in the Winslow [NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!] League.  Thank God for Taylor Engel and his awful prognostications.)

Bantamweight Bout: Scott Jorgensen (14-6) vs. Urijah Faber (27-6)

Luke Irwin: Since 2009, Jorgensen’s only losses are to the UFC Bantamweight Champ, the interim UFC Bantamweight Champ, and the current challenger to the Interim UFC Bantamweight Champ. Scotty is as high-level a gatekeeper you can have, but he can’t get over the hill against the elite fighters of the division. Urijah, for all the boo-hooing he gets for the undeserved title shots and high-profile fights, is an elite fighter. Everything Scotty does, Urijah can do it better. I think this is going to go roughly the same as Faber did against Barao. Game, but just outpaced. Faber via UD.

Connor Dillon: Urijah Faber is the perennial sub-155 title challenger and Scott Jorgensen is the guy with some sweet tattoos. Now despite his current abysmal record in challenging for a title, Faber is still one of the best 135 & 145 lbers out there. Jorgensen has done some fantastic stuff but hasn’t ever reached a level like Faber. I’m gonna go with Faber on this one, as his experience and skills are just a little better than Jorgensen. Faber via decision.

Tim Hickey: A fun fight that should have lots of action between two fighters currently lost in the shuffle of the bantamweight division. Both have had their shots at gold, and probably won’t ever become a champion in the UFC. That being said, I really don’t know how Jorgensen can win this fight. Everything he does, Faber does better. Faber via UD.

Nolan Howell: Scott Jorgensen is a solid fighter. Most of his game is predicated off of power, whether it be his grappling or striking. For every strength Jorgensen has, Urijah Faber is better. Faster on the feed and on the mat, as well as more savvy in both areas. Jorgensen is too slow on the feet, so look for him to get caught and Faber to finish. Urijah Faber by third-round submission.

Josh Hall: Urijah Faber is better than Scotty Jorgenson everywhere, and he should win this fight comfortably. Faber by dominant decision.

 

The Ultimate Fighter 17 Finals: Kelvin Gastelum (5-0) vs. Urijah Hall (7-2)

Luke Irwin: In the words of the great Duke Evers, “YOU SEE?! HE’S NOT A MACHINE! HE’S A MAN!”. Urijah has been beaten, and will be beaten again. However, Kelvin Gastelum isn’t the one to do it yet. Hall via R2 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Damn this season of TUF was good. These two guys are really good prospects and I’m excited to see where they can go later in their UFC careers. Hall is the extremely fancy and strong striker, who showed a decent top game in his entrance fight to TUF. Kelvin has really been hidden this entire season, running beneath my eyes and is the dark horse in this entire competition who finished the guy everyone thought was going to get to the finale. Despite my preference for underdogs, I’m gonna go with Hall thanks to his more complete striking and overall skill. Hall via TKO.

Tim Hickey: For those (if any) that haven’t seen Uriah Hall fight, he is a goddamn Lear jet flying, limousine ridin, kissing stealin, wheelin dealin son of a gun. He ran through the TUF cast like like a monster in a horror movie, leaving death and destruction in his wake. Every one of his opponents got a trip to the emergency room for their troubles. His only losses in MMA have been to middleweight title challenger Chris Weidman and consensus top 10 MW Costas Phillipou. Gastelum reminds me of a young Diego Sanchez (you know, the one that was a beserker of grappling and relentlessness and not the flat footed punch eating brawler of today.) but I think he is a lamb to slaughter. Hall has the length and striking acumen to take this fight Hall via 2nd Rd TKO.

Nolan Howell: Kelvin Gastelum has the tools to make this fight competitive. Gastelum will need to use the cage to his advantage to drag the fight to the mat. While Gastelum has a chance to win ugly, all signs point to Uriah Hall winning beautifully. He has shown grappling that is used to keep the fight in his wheelhouse on the feet. This fight will be contested there and it won’t be contested long. Uriah Hall by first-round KO.

Josh Hall: Urijah Hall has been a wrecking machine this entire TUF season, but I think Kelvin will give him a much tougher fight, and could possibly win. That being said, I’ll still take Hall via KO.

 

Women’s Bantamweight Bout: Cat Zingano (7-0) vs. Miesha Tate (13-3)

Luke Irwin: Once you get under the photoshoots, and the cupcakes, and the Ronda-hate, and Caraway, and the trash-talk, you find that Miesha Tate is an absolutely fantastic fighter. Her fight against Julie Kedzie was our Top-400 Fights of 2012 #1. She tapped Marloes. FREAKING MARLOES! People overlook her because she’s a lot of sizzle, but she’s a shitload worth of steak there too. Cat’s a nice prospect and should be a viable fighter in the UFC W135 division, but she’s not on Miesha’s level. Tate via R3 Submission, stealing another victory from the jaws of defeat.

Connor Dillon: Alrighty, this has effects on who will be a coach in the next season of The Ultimate Fighter. Tate has a history with Rousey, and despite her many attempts at saying she wouldn’t look past Zingano, anyone who broke my arm is definitely gonna be on my mind all the time. Zingano has a great ground game, but I also think Tate is a little better on the ground. That said, Zingano has better defense and more tools in the striking department. I think Zingano is gonna use her wrestling defensively and beat down Tate standing up. Zingano via decision.

Tim Hickey: With a coaching gig for the next season of TUF on the line (and all the exposure that should come with that), we should be in for a treat. I expect there to be a number of fun exchanges on the ground between two very competent grapplers, but I am inclined to take Tate because of her experience in the spotlight and having faced tougher competition during her career. Tate via UD.

Nolan Howell: This matchup will be a fun one to watch. Everything seems to point to this fight being competitive with a case to be made for either lady. Both ladies are powerful grapplers, with Tate favoring a wrestling background. Zingano has a more submission-oriented attack, although she is no doubt strong. For me, Zingano’s technique on the floor and strength swing the pendulum in her favor. Cat Zingano by unanimous decision.

Josh Hall: Miesha Tate is far more experienced against good competition than Cat Zingano, and combined with her size advantage I expect her to be a little too much for the undefeated fighter. Tate via decision.

 

Heavyweight Bout: Gabriel Gonzaga (14-6) vs. Travis Browne (13-1-1)

Luke Irwin: This is going to depend on if Browne actually shows up for this fight instead of the hop-fighting douche that looked past Bigfoot. Gonzaga is a co-captain of the Jorge Gurgel “GET IT TO THE FUCKING GROUND, YOU’RE A JIU-JITSU ACE FOR FUCK’S SAKE!’ team. Encouragingly, Gonzaga’s last three wins have been my three different submissions. The problem is getting Browne to the ground, and I see Browne catching Gonzaga before that. PS: How the hell did they make the poster and Miesha/Cat didn’t?? Either way, Browne via R2 KO.

Connor Dillon: Browne lost in a controversial manner in my opinion thanks to an injury and subsequent TKO to Bigfoot Silva. Gonzaga is coming back higher up the ranks, and he’s still a dangerous opponent, but I think Browne is just too much. He’ll come back better than before and beat up Gonzaga and possibly finish him if he doesn’t throw too many crazy strikes. Browne via TKO.

Tim Hickey: Despite a disappointing loss to current HW title challenger Antonio Silva, Browne remains one of the brightest prospects in the UFC HW division. This fight with Gonzaga is tailor made for “Hapa” to get back on track and try to climb his way back into the top 10. (plus I have an undying hate for Gonzaga for killing Cro Cop) Browne via 2nd Rd TKO

Nolan Howell: I can just hear the “grappler vs. striker” cliche being used on the broadcast right now. While both men are skilled in all areas, this will play out something like that. Travis Browne will want to keep this on the feet, while Gabriel Gonzaga will want to use his world-class grappling. Browne’s length will likely keep Gonzaga away and allow him to pick Gonzaga apart. Travis Browne by second-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Travis Browne was doing fine against Bigfoot Silva before he was injured, and Gonzaga doesn’t react well to getting hit and came in heavier than normal at the weigh ins. Browne via KO.

 

Middleweight Bout: Gilbert Smith (5-1) vs. Robert McDaniel (20-6)

Luke Irwin: Experience and strength of schedule wins out here. McDaniel via R1 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Why is this on the main card? Jesus….Gilbert didn’t impress me at all during his TUF run, and neither did Bubba, but at least Bubba won more than once. Bubba via dumbshit.

Tim Hickey: Bubba McDaniel was given every chance on the show to succeed. As a training partner with Jon Jones at Jackson’s MMA, it was evident that Jones felt some loyalty to him (picking him to fight as a wild card after a loss early on). While not a fantastic fighter, he is a scrappy veteran who has been around a lot longer than Smith. I expect Bubba to use that experience to pull out a victory. McDaniel via decision.

Nolan Howell: This will honestly be one of the hardest fights to pick. It seems like Bubba McDaniel should be the rightful favorite here, as Gilbert Smith doesn’t offer much but power. Assuming, McDaniel puts it all together, he should win here. Bubba McDaniel by second-round submission.

Josh Hall: Gilbert Smith via decision.

 

Middleweight Bout: Josh Samman (9-2) vs. Kevin Casey (5-2)

Luke Irwin: *ahem*, That’s Strikeforce Challengers MAIN EVENTER Kevin Casey, thank you very much! That being said, Samman via SD.

Connor Dillon: Samman has more experience and he’s got a good, strong game. Casey had kidney failure in the middle of his match. I’m pretty sure this is just a sacrificial lamb fight. Samman via TKO.

Tim Hickey: Samman went all the way to the TUF semis before getting the life choked out of him by Kelvin Gastelum. He has the look of a very solid prospect at 185 lbs. Casey, a Gracie black belt, went 0-2 in the house, and couldn’t answer the bell for the 3rd round in his wildcard fight with Bubba McDaniel. He blamed the loss on the weight cut, but I believe his gas tank maybe a little bit lacking. At least he will always have his rap career and being friends with Supreme Douche Spencer Pratt. (watch his turrible rap video http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nc2N2TiKI3o) Samman via 3rd round KO.

Nolan Howell: Kevin Casey has a BJJ black belt. Sadly, he has no way of bringing it there. Josh Samman is solid in all areas, so he should be able to determine where this fight goes. Look for him to keep it standing and win it there. Josh Samman by first-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Josh Samman via KO.

 

Middleweight Bout: Collin Hart (4-1-1) vs. Luke Barnatt (5-0)

Luke Irwin: Call it jingoism, but I mostly like to call it a pattern. British fighters making their American debut? Ehhhh…, plus I can never pick against a Tachi Palace veteran! They’ve seen some shit, man… Hart via UD.

Connor Dillon: Barnatt wins via decision.

Tim Hickey: Coin flip really. Barnett is super tall for a MW (6’6) so that is enough for me Barnett via decision.

Nolan Howell: Luke Barnatt has freakish size, allowing him to strike and grapple effectively with his long limbs. Colin Hart has the style that could scare Barnatt, continuously coming forward to wear you down to the mat. While that seems possible, it looks to be more feasible that Barnatt catches Hart on the way in. Luke Barnatt by second-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Luke Barnatt via KO.

 

Middleweight Bout: Dylan Andrews (15-4) vs. Jimmy Quinlan (3-0)

Luke Irwin: Dylan has some granite fists, but he can be caught in a flash submission. Quinlan is very inexperienced, but I think he has the grappling chops to catch Andrews. Quinlan R2 Sub.

Connor Dillon: Dylan Andrews wins via TKO.

Tim Hickey: Last time we saw Dylan Andrews, he was busy having his soul stolen from his body by Uriah Hall. He literally wanted nothing to do with being in the cage with Hall, and spent the entire fight in a defensive shell (occasionally throwing a looping right hand in hopes of a KO). He is a veteran of 19 fights and has shared the cage/ring with a number of cagey fighters, which should be enough to take a win over the relatively inexperienced Quinlan. Andrews via 1st round KO.

Nolan Howell: Jimmy Quinlan is a skillful grappler, while Dylan Andrews is a technical brawler that seems to comfortable everywhere. That said, it would be best for him to stand in this one. Quinlan likely won’t be able to get it to the mat and will wilt under the pressure of Andrews. Dylan Andrews by first-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Dylan Andrews via decision.

 

Middleweight Bout: Bristol Marunde (12-7) vs. Clint Hester (7-3)

Luke Irwin: I tend to take the guy who just went three rounds with Jacare over Hester who hasn’t had, shall we say, nearly the challenges that Marunde has faced. Marunde via UD.

Connor Dillon: Clint Hester wins via decision.

Tim Hickey: Hester via UD.

Nolan Howell: Had this been a fight that Marunde had a full camp for, it would be easy to say he could grind this one out for a decision. However, given the size disadvantage and the potential lack of gas, this should be Hester’s chance for a quick win. Clint Hester by second-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Clint Hester via decision.

 

Featherweight Bout: Bart Palaszewski (36-16) vs. Cole Miller (18-7)

Luke Irwin: Two guys probably fighting for their jobs here. Palaszewski hasn’t lost via submission since 2007, and for whatever reason, Cole looks really, REALLY shitty lately. Palaszewski via R3 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Palaszewski wins via decision.

Tim Hickey: Well, basically the loser will be looking for a job, so expect both of these guys to come out guns blazing. I am picking Cole Miller, but I do so hesitantly, as lately no one seems to know which Cole Miller will be showing up on fight night. I hope it is the one that choked the ever loving hell out of Junie Browning. Miller via UD.

Nolan Howell: Cole Miller has looked very pitiful at featherweight. Unfortunately, he is fighting a guy who has all the right tools to beat him. Bart Palaszewski’s slick boxing and capable grappling allow him to take this one. Bart Palaszewski by second-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Cole Miller has looked less than stellar since dropping to 145, and I expect Bartimus to impose his will on the lanky fighter. Bart by decision.

 

Featherweight Bout: Daniel Pineda (17-9) vs. Justin Lawrence (4-1)

Luke Irwin: My FOTN pick right here. I really, really think this fight is going to deliver in a big way. I like watching Pineda too much to let him ride off into the sunset. Pineda via R3 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Pineda via decision.

Tim Hickey: *Shrugs shoulders* Pineda via submission.

Nolan Howell: Sort of a tough matchup, as you don’t know if Justin Lawrence’s flashy techniques will win against an elite regional talent like Daniel Pineda. While Pineda proved he can be KO’d in his last fight, the safer bet seems to be on him. Daniel Pineda by first-round submission.

Josh Hall: Justin Lawrence is a raw fighter, but Pineda is coming off a KO loss and Lawrence is likely to pressure him and put him here for the KO win.  Lawrence via KO.

 

Featherweight Bout: Maximo Blanco (8-4-1) vs. Sam Sicilia (11-2)

Luke Irwin: Maxi Blanco, damn, on top of the world in Sengoku, now opening…the Facebook portion…of an Ultimate Fighter card…yikes. Pencil in another superstar in Japan that’s going to fizzle out here. Sicilia via R1 KO.

Connor Dillon: Sicilia via submission.

Tim Hickey: Do not remove your visual recepticals from the computer screen when these two gentlemen get into the cage. Both enjoy a good round of fisticuffs and should quench my unquenchable bloodlust. Blanco via 1st Round KO.

Nolan Howell: While Maximo Blanco has been a terrible disappointment stateside thus far, Sam Sicilia has nothing but a puncher’s chance here. Fight smart, Blanco. Maximo Blanco by first-round TKO.

Josh Hall: Maximo Blanco by KO.

UFC on Fuel: Latifi vs. Mousasi Staff Predictions

Rosenthal League

Daniel Galvan: 19-8, .704

Benjamin Kohn: 23-10, .697

Nolan Howell: 40-18, .690

Josh Hall: 24-11, .686

Tim Bernier: 23-11, .676

Tim Hickey: 29-15, .659

Winslow League

Christian Diaz: 23-12, .657

Chris Groves: 30-19, .612

Lucas Bourdon: 7-5, .583

Connor Dillon: 26-19, .578

Luke Irwin: 40-39, .506

TC Engel: 20-20, .500

Light Heavyweight Bout: Gegard Mousasi (33-3-2) vs. Ilir Latifi (7-2)

Luke Irwin: This is going to look like Rocky IV, as Gegard Drago pummels Apollo Latifi in front of his friend and training partner ringside. THROW THE DAMNED TOWEL, GUS! HE DOESN’T KNOW IT’S A DAMNED EXHIBITION! Mousasi R1 KO.

Ben Kohn: Mousasi by whatever he wants but I will pick KO. Mousasi R1 KO.

Nolan Howell: I guess it would be telling if I were to tell you that I initially thought Gegard Mousasi was going to beat the brakes off of Alexander Gustafsson. Ilir Latifi will probably be solid enough to beat LHW newcomers, but this will be ugly. Gegard Mousasi by first-round submission.

 

Lightweight Bout: Ross Pearson (14-6) vs. Ryan Couture (6-1)

Luke Irwin: Pearson is back at lightweight, where I like him much, much better. Ryan’s a quality fighter, but he’s squeaked by with some favorable decisions lately, and this is a big step up for him. Pearson via R2 TKO.

Ben Kohn: Pearson easy UD, Couture is out of his league here.

Nolan Howell: Ross Pearson is going to have a successful UFC career. His main strategy seems to be defensive grappling to stand up and use his slick boxing-oriented attack. Ryan Couture doesn’t have the striking of some of the opponents Pearson has seen. Ryan Couture doesn’t have the grappling of some of the opponents Pearson has seen. Easy pick, just depends on how Pearson wins it. Ross Pearson by unanimous decision.

 

Heavyweight Bout: Matt Mitrione (5-2) vs. Phil De Fries (9-2)

Luke Irwin: Mitrione is competent enough to avoid the fight going to the ground, which is the only place De Fries has a chance. Mitrione keeps it standing and finishes him off. Mitrione via R2 TKO.

Ben Kohn: Mitrione finishes De Fries early with a nice highlight-reel KO. Mitrione via R1 KO.

Nolan Howell: The writing is on the wall for this one. Phil De Fries has some punching power, but he is known for being a grappling specialist. Unfortunately, he doesn’t have the wrestling to bring fights to that point. Even more unfortunately, his opponent has slicker technique on the feet and hits pretty hard. Matt Mitrione, could you hand Mr. De Fries this pink slip? Matt Mitrione by first-round KO.

 

Bantamweight Bout: Brad Pickett (22-7) vs. Mike Easton (13-2)

Luke Irwin: Ehhh…this has the looks of Easton grinding out a boring one. Easton via SD.

Ben Kohn: After Easton’s piss poor performance last time out, and Pickett in that position of just below elite, I see Pickett getting the UD.

Nolan Howell: A lot of folks are high on Mike Easton. To me, that seems a little premature. His most impressive victory came against Byron Bloodworth and he has had troubles in his other fights, whether it be getting hit too much or not putting up sufficient offense. Brad Pickett is someone who gets slept on, having only lost to Scott Jorgensen, Renan Barao, and Eddie Wineland in his Zuffa career. This one looks competitive, but Pickett should take this handily. Brad Pickett by unanimous decision.

 

Featherweight Bout: Diego Brandao (16-8) vs. Pablo Garza (12-3)

Luke Irwin: I love Brandao as a fighter, and if this was six months ago, I’d bet my house that Diego waxes Pablo. But the Hominick fight changed that. For ONCE, Pablo used his reach against the much, much smaller Hominick. He painted a masterpiece in that fight. He was training with the Diazes, which is one of the best things he can do, as he basically has Nate’s frame, but longer. He looked like a long-lost Diaz cousin, and I think he uses that training to pick apart Brandao. Garza via UD.

Ben Kohn: In the fight that excites me the most on this card, I see Brandao and Garza putting on a hell of a round until Brandao drops Garza and finishes him. Brandao via R1 KO.

Nolan Howell: Pablo Garza has shown some flashes of genius, but he remains overall unpolished and seems to rely on his length on the ground while not using it so much on his feet. That is not a good idea at all against Diego Brandao. While Brandao may be a streaky fighter, Garza doesn’t have the prowess anywhere in this fight to handle Brandao efficiently, save for maybe cardio. Diego Brandao by first-round TKO.

 

Featherweight Bout: Akira Corassani (10-3) vs. Robbie Peralta (16-3)

Luke Irwin: This, again, to me, comes down to strength of schedule. Corassani, three fights ago, beat a man by scissor choke. Scissor choke. Peralta, on the other hand, beat Hiroyuki Takaya and knocked out Jason Young. Peralta via R1 KO.

Ben Kohn: Peralta is a better striker with a better chin. Peralta KO rd 1.

Nolan Howell: Robbie Peralta is a powerful striker who has shown some efficient technique on the feet. Akira Corassani is somewhat of a journeyman who doesn’t excel at much of anything. Unless some miracle punch lands, this one is academic. Robbie Peralta by second-round TKO.

 

Lightweight Bout: Michael Johnson (12-7) vs. Reza Madadi (12-3)

Luke Irwin: Michael Johnson…it’s like once somebody puts on a Blackzillians shirt, it’s made of mercury. Madadi’s shine has faded a little bit, but Johnson looked sooooo bad last fight. Madadi via SD.

Ben Kohn: I have faith in Johnson that he will get back on track with a win over Madadi. Johnson via UD.

Nolan Howell: This will prove to be a battle of who shows up more inconsistent. Michael Johnson is fast on his feet and has shown a decent wrestling game. Reza Madadi has some competent grappling and has quality regional wins. What scares me here is Madadi was outstruck by Cristiano Marcello. Submission edge would go to Madadi, but he can’t take it there. Michael Johnson by second-round TKO.

 

Middleweight Bout: Adam Cella (4-0) vs. Tor Troeng (15-4-1)

Luke Irwin: You’re gonna wager against Tor? No, I didn’t think so. This will end violently. Troeng R1 KO.

Ben Kohn: Troeng by being better and having more experience. Troeng via Sub rd 2.

Nolan Howell: Adam Cella survived for a bit against Uriah Hall. That’s about all that can really be said for him. Tor Troeng has fought more impressive competition for much longer. Tor Troeng by first-round KO.

 

Welterweight Bout: Adlan Amagov (11-2-1) vs. Chris Spang (5-1)

Luke Irwin: This would have a fantastic home on Bellator! Two nasty, vicious foreign fighters, one of them is Russian, of course, just getting nasty untl one of them falls. WOULD-BE BELLATOR FIGHTS NEVER DIE! Spang via R1 TKO.

Ben Kohn: Spang looked good his last time I saw him against Burrell in Strikeforce but Amagov has a lot more experience and should take it. Amagov via UD.

Nolan Howell: Chris Spang looked impressive in his last outing against Nah-Shon Burrell, but Amagov has the better track record to prove his skills. Adlan Amagov by second-round TKO.

 

Featherweight Bout: Conor McGregor (12-2) vs. Marcus Brimage (6-1)

Luke Irwin: Cage Warriors is a seriously legit promotion. Probably the best homegrown in Europe, but Brimage was thrown to the wolves in the UFC. Maxi Blanco and Jimy Hettes is pretty damned rough for a second and third UFC fight, but he vanquished both. This is a step down for Brimage, and I expect him to take it. Brimage via R3 TKO.

Ben Kohn: Brimage by UD, he keeps his win streak alive.

Nolan Howell: McGregor has looked good against regional competiton, while Brimage has looked impressive against solid prospects. Marcus Brimage by unanimous decision.

 

Welterweight Bout: Ben Alloway (13-3) vs. Ryan LaFlare (7-0)

Luke Irwin: LaFlare is another fighter out of the Ring of Combat pipeline. Those guys always come strong, and he has finishes a number of different ways. I’m led to believe Alloway’s nasty KO was more of an anomoly over habit. Believe in the pipeline! LaFlare via R2 Submission.

Ben Kohn: Laflare is an undefeated prospect who I know not much about at all and he is fighting Ben Alloway who I know nothing about soooooo Laflare by KO rd 3.

Nolan Howell: Not going to pretend to know who LaFlare is. Alloway was impressive in his first fight, so there’s that. Ben Alloway by unanimous decision.

 

Middleweight Bout: Michael Kuiper (12-1) vs. Tom Lawlor (8-5)

Luke Irwin: I think if Rafael Natal, he of the unbelievably poor fight IQ, can earn a UD over Kuiper, Lawlor, who is limited, but is very, very smart with how he fights, can grind one out pretty easily. Lawlor via UD.

Ben Kohn: Lawlor should take it here. Lawlor via UD.

Nolan Howell: This will seemingly be Kuiper’s first introduction to an American wrestler, and a decent one at that. Tom Lawlor by second-round submission.

 

Welterweight Bout: Besam Yousef (6-1) vs. Papy Abedi (8-2)

Luke Irwin: I think Papy regains some mojo and uses his fists to take down the submission specialist early. Abedi via R1 TKO.

Ben Kohn: Abedi has faltered but this guy hung pretty well with Alves on the feet and his TDD should be enough to get the KO. Abedi via R1 KO.

Nolan Howell: Abedi has lost to Thiago Alves and James Head. Both of those guys aren’t really that bad. Papy Abedi by first-round TKO.

Undercard Supermarket: UFC 158, What We’re Ingesting Against Common Sense

Welcome back to Undercard Supermarket!  In case you’re new, this is where the lovely lads of UCS let me know what and why they’re eating/drinking on fight night, I report that in picture form, and subsequently judge them.  Let’s go!

Chris Groves:

pizza3water3

(Brace yourselves, this is about to become a trend and real quickly, much to my chagrin.)

Connor Dillon:

winepizza

(Connor says the Chocovine chocolate wine is for his girlfriend, since that’s the only thing she’ll drink.  I’ve sampled said wine at a Christmas party at a friend’s, and I can reaffirm, that if you want to feel bloated, sick, and not even a tiny-bit tipsy, that is your drink of choice.  Dude, if your girl is a rookie drinker, Bacardi Razz and Sprite, Vodka/Cran, or Niagara-grape white wine.  Gotta tell these kids everything.)

Benjamin Kohn:

water

(Ben Kohn, you’re a wild man, you.  I really should have run this feature in the application process.  The fact that he could tap me in a matter of seconds redeems him.  Every drinker needs a legit badass in his crew.)

Tim Hickey:

pizza2water2

(JESUS, AGAIN?!?!  To Tim’s credit, he works very high-up for a major, major, tech company and works crazy hours.  But for fuck’s sake, the idea of water after pizza makes me cringe.  Not even any milk to counter the heartburn or maybe pop [yes, it's pop where I come from, fuck yourself.  POP] to counter the salt?  Water?  That just gives shitty sauce a canoe-ride to the stomach.)

TC Engel:

Creemore Springs Lager150px-Amaretto_disaronno

(Taylor smartly changed his Amaretto choice to Disaronno before I had to revoke his drinking card.  However, he still is drinking a beer named “Creemore Springs”.  Look at that can.  That is the last thing 258 Canadian kidnapping victims have seen before their deaths.  That can terrifies me.)

Josh Hall:

chickenribssteaktorpedocrown-royal

(Thank God for Josh Hall.  Just when I was beginning to lose the staff, Hall totally redeems me with five of my favorite things on the planet: chicken, ribs, steak, good beer, and Crown.  Hall is going to a BBQ saturday to watch the fights, and if you don’t want to be there, you’re no friend of mine.  Josh takes the crown from Diaz this week.  PRECURSOR?!?!)

Christian Diaz:

FD000636New_Jameson_Bottlecarbomb

(Pssst….nobody tell Chris that St. Patrick’s Day is Sunday…just let him have his fun….)

Daniel Galvan:

deep_fried_twinkiedisney-turkey-legMable's Cherry Limeade(2)Fried_Pickles-6

(Dan is going to something called a “Stock Show” before the fights.  It’s a Texas thing, apparently featuring livestock and fat girls, according to him.  However, any venture that serves fried pickles. turkey legs, cherry-limeade, and deep fried twinkies is something I can get behind, and Galvan takes the runner up this week!)

Nolan Howell:

sunset dip077890907702

(Nolan came thisclose to the win because Sunset Dip is absolutely out of this world, and Wegman’s pop is fantastic.  When I have a child, they will be baptized in Wegman’s Sparking Lemonade.)

Tim Bernier:

question

(I got nothing out of Joe College this weekend.  When I asked Tim, all he did was go on a, no joke, PARAGRAPHS-long tirade about waitresses in a nearby Irish pub slutting it up for extra tips from middle-aged men.  It was really something to behold.)

Luke Irwin:

Black_Velvet_1L12946190reuben

(A bigass reuben, son!  That’s about as “into” that vile amateur hour holiday of St. Patty’s as I’ll go.  And, of course, BV and Diet Pepsi.  Enjoy the fights, everyone!  WAR GSP’S DARKNESS!!)

UFC 158 Staff Predictions

[Staff Standings]

Rosenthal League:

Nolan Howell: 27-9, .750

Daniel Galvan: 19-8, .704

Christian Diaz: 23-12, .657

Benjamin Kohn: 15-8, .652

Josh Hall: 14-9, .609

Tim Bernier: 13-9, .591

Winslow League:

Lucas Bourdon: 7-5, .583

Chris Groves: 20-17, .541

TC Engel: 14-14, .500

Tim Hickey: 14-14, .500

Connor Dillon: 15-16, .484

Luke Irwin: 25-31, .446

(To put it succinctly, Nolan absolutely ate my lunch for Bellator last week, going 4-0 to my 1-3.  That sunk me even further into the Winslow [NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!] League and gave Nolan a commanding lead on the entire shabang.)

UFC Welterweight Championship: Georges St. Pierre (c) (23-2) vs. Nick Diaz (26-8)

Tim Hickey: I am a fan of both fighters for a long time. GSP, because I respect his fight IQ and his ability to make great fighters look ordinary, and Diaz because he always comes to fight. Some of my favorite fights of all times had Nick Diaz in them. That being said, GSP is a stylistic nightmare for him. Diaz has traditionally struggled with wrestlers, hence why Strikeforce kept him away from every wrestler they could during his time as their champion. GSP via decision.

Luke Irwin: If not the best, then Georges St. Pierre is currently the smartest fighter in the world today. His fight IQ is unmatched and I think the lessons that were learned in two fights; Condit vs. Diaz, and his own fight with Condit, will benefit him tremendously. Nick Diaz, on the other hand, is a child. When things don’t go his way, he starts to taunt, he starts to pout, and he starts acting irrationally. GSP is going frustrate the living hell out of Diaz en route to a lopsided decision. St. Pierre via UD.

Connor Dillon: Alrighty, it’s the super robot versus the perennial bad boy. This breaks down to can GSP control Diaz, and can he do damage on the ground if and when he takes him down. Yes. Nick Diaz won’t be able to control the distance or the Octagon and GSP will incorporate his excellent takedowns to ground Diaz down. GSP via TKO, Fourth Round.

Tim Bernier: Georges St-Pierre is the second greatest mixed martial artist to ever live. He’s faced the toughest competition of anyone to ever fight in this sport. He is going to beat the snot out of Nick Diaz. Diaz will look lost after the first round, and he will not adjust or find any effective offense during the course of this fight. I should note that I’m biased as all hell, as GSP is my favorite fighter. Clean sweep on the scorecards: Georges St-Pierre by Unanimous Decision.

TC Engel: GSP hates Nick Diaz. GSP with a chip on his shoulder traditionally turns out poorly for his opponent. GSP is a better striker. GSP is a better wrestler. GSP will beat Nick Diaz by second round knockout.

Josh Hall: GSP UD. GSP is simply better than Diaz everywhere. A late round finish wouldn’t shock me, but I’ll take St. Pierre by dominant decision.

Benjamin Kohn: GSP by UD- Diaz really doesn’t have much of a chance here.

Nolan Howell: I am a huge Diaz fan and would love to see the upset here. That said, he cannot dictate where this fight takes place and GSP has shown some stone cold composure in adherence to a gameplan. I don’t count on him being lured into slugging with Diaz and I don’t count on him getting submitted. Going to be a rough night for the Stockton collective. Georges St. Pierre by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: GSP is a fantastic wrestler with fantastic top control. He’s also a great strategist when it comes to MMA. As much as I’d love for Diaz to pull something out and for chaos to ensue, GSP will win in every way that Diaz hates to lose. GSP via UD.

Welterweight Bout: Carlos Condit (28-6) vs. Johny Hendricks (14-1)

Tim Hickey: This has FOTN written all over it. Condit is the better technical striker, but Hendricks has the heaviest hands in the entire welterweight division. Bigg Rigg has great wrestling credentials on paper, but he rarely seems to use them, instead relying on the Dan Henderson method of fighting (trying to land that one big punch). I think Hendricks comes out smart and utilizes a gameplan of cutting off the cage, working for takedowns and trying to land some strong GnP on Condit. Hendricks via decision.

Luke Irwin: Now we’re talking. I think we were all happy to see the return of a more aggressive Condit against GSP, and I hope that continues. Ideally, this ends up being a firefight, and I can see Hendricks eeking by. Hendricks via SD.

Connor Dillon: I love Condit, but I think Hendricks will win this based on his wrestling. I think he’s gonna get Condit againt the fence and turn this into something resembling his fight against Koscheck. Hendricks via Decision.

Tim Bernier: At the time of this writing, Carlos Condit is an underdog to Johny Hendricks. It’s slight, but I think Condit should be about a -145 or -150 favorite. Condit at +115 is almost enticing me to end my betting hiatus. I don’t think Hendricks has proven he has the skills to beat a fighter like Condit. Condit has faced better competition. Hendricks looked like dogshit against 2012 Josh Koscheck, lost a UD to Rick Story a little over two years ago, SD’d Mike Pierce. He didn’t fight long enough against Fitch or Kampmann to show that he is some amazing fighter that is going to walk in and crush a fighter like Carlos Condit in 20 seconds-because Carlos sure as shit has better defense than Kampmann and Fitch. Carlos Condit by decision.

TC Engel: If I ever pick against Carlos Condit, I won’t be able to live with myself. That being said, I think Carlos Condit can keep Johny Hendricks at range, and pick him apart with straight punches and kicks to the legs and body. I don’t see a finish, but I think Carlos Condit will beat Johny Hendricks by Unanimous Decision.

Josh Hall: Hendricks UD- This fight is a coin toss but I think Hendricks uses his wrestling to grind out an ugly decision win.

Benjamin Kohn: Hendricks by KO rd 1- Hendricks’ Leonidas beard shall conquer all.

Nolan Howell: Everyone should be rooting for Hendricks here. The guy has deserved a title shot two or three times over and he just keeps getting tougher opposition each time, only to mow people down and still miss out on a shot. Unfortunately, Condit seems to be a guy that matches up very well with Hendricks. Lengthy striking and a stifling ground game that can be employed from his back, Condit will likely pick apart Hendricks. Carlos Condit by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: Condit is extremely well rounded and he could easily take home a UD here….but Hendricks has crazy power. I know Condit survived the heavy shots he took from Ellenberger. But that was YEARS ago, and I think Hendricks hits harder and will landHendricks via KO, round 1

Welterweight Bout: Jake Ellenberger (28-6) vs. Nate Marquardt (32-11-2)

Tim Hickey: Marquardt makes his return to the UFC, and isn’t given an easy fight where he has to face off against the always dangerous Ellenberger. Although Ellenberger’s stock has dropped a bit over the past year, he is still one of those fighters that Nate The Great has struggled with over the years. Expect Ellenberger to utilize his strong wrestling to grind out Marquardt over 3 rounds. Ellenberger via decision.

Luke Irwin: I’m happy to see one of my favorite fighters in the world back in the UFC. I just don’t know whether we’ll see the guy against Woodley or the guy against Saffiedine, because those two were totally different guys. I’d like to think Marquardt finds his fire back and mauls Jake in the later rounds like he did T-Wood (his old nickname was better). Marquardt R3 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Ellenberger has power, and in Nate The Great’s last appearance he seemed slow and not very quick. I think Ellenberger catches him and kicks Marquardt out of the UFC. Ellenberger via TKO.

Tim Bernier: Marquardt has quite a strange career. He’s really inconsistent. He a bit of a headcase as well. Ellenberger hits like a fucking truck. Marquardt is in on short notice. Ellenberger by KO, round 1.

TC Engel: Nate Marquardt will never be viewed correctly in the minds of fight fans. Everyone loves him for his Tekken combos, but past that, he’s not much special. Mediocre wrestling, mediocre striking, mediocre BJJ, mediocre speed, mediocre cardio. Jake Ellenberger will beat Nate Marquardt by first round knockout.

Josh Hall: Ellenberger KO1- Ellenberger will not want to repeat the dud of a fight he had against Jay Hieron, and I think the 2 fighters slug it out until Ellenberger lands a big right hand to secure the KO win.

Benjamin Kohn: Marquart by UD- I think Nate is to standing to get caught by Jake and will stick to the outside enroute to a win.

Nolan Howell: Jake Ellenberger is loads of fun to watch. He either clobbers his opponent in the first round or slowly fades en route to being finished or taking a decision. Nate Marquardt is a guy that can easily take advantage of that, but he is also wildly inconsistent. In addition, he hasn’t shown to be terribly impressive at welterweight. Something just tells me that Marquardt has an advantage just about everywhere here, perhaps save offensive wrestling. Nate Marquardt by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: Nate is taking the fight on less than full notice, Jake has great wrestling and a lot of power…he’s also the younger fighter. I think Ellenberger paces himself, but eventually cracks Marquardt with something heavy that Nate won’t bounce back from. Ellenberger via 2nd round KO.

Middleweight Bout: Chris Camozzi (18-5) vs. Nick Ring (13-1)

Tim Hickey: Ugh, is this for real a main card fight? Really? Camozzi via TKO

Luke Irwin: Wow, this card really falls off quite briskly, eh? Camozzi has silently won three in a row, and although Ring is a step up in competition, it’s not a large one at all. Camozzi via UD.

Connor Dillon: I’ll admit, I don’t like Nick Ring, and I hope Camozzi destroys him, but I see it going to decision. Camozzi via Decision.

Tim Bernier: After three really awesome fights to end the card, we get…Nick Ring vs Chris Camozzi. Yay. Ring by decision.

TC Engel: Nick Ring. Why does the UFC try to ram him down Canada’s collective throat? I don’t know. I do know that Chris Camozzi will beat Nick Ring by Unanimous Decision.

Josh Hall: Ring UD- Its gonna be grinding and ugly whoever wins, and that is Ring’s kind of fight, so I’ll take him by decision.

Benjamin Kohn: Camozzi by UD- Ring gasses and Cammozi is a big guy. I expect this to be a pretty boring fight that Camozzi takes narrowly.

Nolan Howell: Another battle of inconsistencies here. Ring has quite a few wins in the UFC, but two of them have been pretty atrocious judging calls that gave him the victory. Camozzi can look lackluster or inspired, depending on the night. This is a coin-flip decision, but Ring hasn’t shown me anything terribly impressive and Camozzi is a tough out that will keep coming. Chris Camozzi by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: I care about this fight only because I want to see Nick Ring catch a beating. Who I’m picking/rooting for shouldcome as no surprise. Camozzi via UD.

Lightweight Bout: Colin Fletcher (8-2) vs. Mike Ricci (7-3)

Tim Hickey: Cause lord knows we can’t have a main card unless it has a Canadian fighter in it. Good gravy, Camozzi, Ring and Ricci all on a main card. Are sure this isn’t being held in Calgary? Ricci via decision

Luke Irwin: Boy, this fight is….boy. Fletcher UD.

Connor Dillon: I didn’t really like Ricci and Fletcher seems like a cool name. Fletcher by submission.

Tim Bernier: Wikipedia tells me both of these guys lost the Ultimate Fighter. One of them lost to a guy named Norman Parke. Really? Norman? There’s no excuse for that. Mike Ricci by decision.

TC Engel: I did not watch Ricci’s season of TUF. I did watch Fletcher’s. I think he’s a terrible wrestler that’s mediocre everywhere else, and I know nothing of Ricci apart from his fight against Naptime Colton, his friendship with Rory MacDonald, and his hipsterness. So, umm.. Colin Fletcher will beat Mike Ricci by second round d’Arce choke.

Josh Hall: Ricci KO2- Fletcher has a solid submission game, but I think he lacks the offensive wrestling to implement it here. Ricci via 2nd round KO.

Benjamin Kohn: Ricci by UD- Good wrestler vs. bad takedown defense, Ricci by takedowns.

Nolan Howell: Simply put, aside from being lengthy, Fletcher is not very impressive. Ricci is no animal himself, but he has potential staying power as a lightweight gatekeeper. Mike Ricci by second-round TKO.

Chris Groves: Wow, I truly give zero fucks about this fight. Apologies, but that’s the way it is. Ricci via UD.

Welterweight Bout: Bobby Voelker (24-8) vs. Patrick Cote (18-8)

Tim Hickey: In his last 5 fights, Bobby Voelker has fought Roger Bowling 3 times. That and he hasn’t fought in like 18 months. Expect a beating. Cote via KO.

Luke Irwin: Voelker hasn’t fought in a while, but Cote is done as a high-level fighter. Voelker is a legit fighter and I think he’s going to take it to Cote. Voelker R1 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Cote via TKO.

Tim Bernier: Cote’s career has been one disappointment after another. Quite unfortunate. I think he still has the skills to beat Bobby Voelker, who is on a three fight streak, the last two of which have come against Roger Bowling. Because Strikeforce matchmaking. Cote by decision.

TC Engel: Patrick Cote, compared to Nick Ring, is beloved in Canada. I like him, and I hope he wins. Oddly enough, I think he can do it. His chin showed signs of fading in his last fight, but I’d be stunned if Bob Voelker is the one to do it, so I think Pat Cote will beat Bobby Voelker by Unanimous Decision.

Josh Hall: Voelker KO2- I’m afraid Cote is totally shot as a fighter, and Voelker is tough as the fight wears on. I think he finishes Cote in the second or third round.

Benjamin Kohn: Cote by KO. More experience against better competition + big power= Cote by KO.

Nolan Howell: Voelker is sloppy and has some ring rust. Cote should pack more of a punch at welterweight and be able to land at will. Patrick Cote by first-round KO.

Chris Groves: Voelker hasn’t fought in nearly 2 years…that’s bad. Even if Cote had a rough cut, I still predict he’ll be the better striker and all that jazz. Cote via TKO round 3.

Featherweight Bout: Antonio Carvalho (15-5) vs. Darren Elkins (15-2)

Tim Hickey: Interesting stylistic matchup (although may not be as fun to watch) pits Elkins’ strong top game against Carvalho’s good jiu-jitsu. I like Elkins to grind this one out in a performance to make Jon Fitch proud. Elkins via UD.

Luke Irwin: I really, really like Elkins since he went to Featherweight. He’s crazy strong at that weight class, and while Carvalho can win a number of ways, I think Elkins grinds him into a paste with GnP. Elkins via UD.

Tim Bernier: Darren Elkins ain’t no joke. He’s a step above Carvalho. Elkins by decision.

TC Engel: Damn, this is easily one of the toughest picks for me. I’m a big fan of Carvalho. He’s a very nice striker with surprising power. He also looks like a total nerdlips, so that’s a plus. But Elkins is a great grinder, on his way into the upper echelon of the division. Out of my hatred of grinders, though, I’ll say Antonio Carvalho beats Darren Elkins by first round technical knockout.

Josh Hall: Elkins UD- Elkins wins a lot of decisions, and I don’t think Carvalho has the weapons to catch him with something, so more of the same for Darren here.

Benjamin Kohn: Elkins by UD- Elkins is gonna get the takedown and dominate position throughout the fight.

Nolan Howell: Sort of a toss-up, but Elkins’ offensive (if you can call it that) grappling is the deciding factor. Carvalho’s ground game might be able to control him, but I doubt it. Darren Elkins by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: Elkins is 4-0 at Featherweight for a reason. He has a stifling wrestling-based grappling style that is enough to get past guys like Carvalho. Elkinvia UD.

Welterweight Bout: Dan Miller (14-6) vs. Jordan Mein (26-8)

Tim Hickey: Everyone knows those Miller brothers are as tough as microwaved steak, but Jordan Mein is perhaps one of the brightest prospects in the welterweight division. Mein has devastating elbows, and as long as he can keep this fight on the feet, I see him finishing Dan Miller. Mein via KO.

Luke Irwin: This is my FOTN prediction right here. The Miller brothers are never in a boring fight, and they’re really throwing Dan into a shark tank herre. Mein is vicious and can put away most everyone at 170. He’ll put a beating on Dan, but he won’t finish him. Mein via UD.

Connor Dillon: Miller via Decision.

Tim Bernier: Dan Miller is a great guy. Life has given him some of the biggest “fuck you’s” it has to offer. So it is with a heavy heart that I pick Mein by decision. Here’s to hoping Dan has another guillotine somewhere inside him.

TC Engel: This fight is so good. I mean, how do you cheer against Dan Miller? And Jordan Mein uses standing elbows! I have no desire to break this down. I’ll say Dan Miller beats Jordan Mein by third round guillotine after losing two rounds.

Josh Hall: Mein UD- I think Jordan Mein is going to be physically too much for one of the UFC’s good guys in Dan Miller. Miller has never been finished though, and I don’t expect that to change here.

Nolan Howell: While people are high on Mein, people also sleep on Miller. Miller is tough and underrated. He’ll use his wrestling and grappling to take this one. Dan Miller by second-round submission.

Chris Groves: Miller is a personal favorite of mine. Knowing his story, I find it impossible to root against him. The fact that he always takes short notice fights only adds to his manly-man persona. Jordan is a prospect with a bright future, but it’s Miller via Sub, round 2.

Lightweight Bout: Daron Cruickshank (12-2) vs. John Makdessi (10-2)

Tim Hickey: Hey look, some dude from a TUF season I didn’t watch, and Makdessi, best remembered as having Joe Rogan tell us over and over what a world class striker he is. Makdessi via “K-1 level striking”.

Luke Irwin: This could also steal FOTN. This is going to be a standup battle. Makdessi uses his length and karate well to keep distance and land consistently. Sam Stout had absolutely nothing for him. Cruickshank is different, though. He won’t try to outpoint Makdessi, he’s going to pressure him like Njokuani did. Cruickshank via UD.

Connor Dillon: Makdessi via Decision.

Tim Bernier: These prelims ain’t half bad. Makdessi by decision.

TC Engel: This undercard is ridiculous. This is going to be fun. I predict violence, and I think Daron Cruickshank beats John Makdessi by Unanimous Decision.

Josh Hall: Makdessi UD- I expect this to be a stand up affair, and I think Makdessi has at least a small advantage on the feet. The Bull by decision.

Benjamin Kohn: Cruickshank by UD- Bigger, more explosive, and more power in his hands and feet, but Makdessi should be able to last the duration of the bout.

Nolan Howell: I am really looking forward to this fight for some taekwondo awesomeness. The standup seems to be relatively even or at least comparable, but Cruickshank has a wrestling background to turn to if things get rough. Daron Cruickshank by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: STAND AND BANG! At least I hope so. Both guys have karate/Tae Kwon Do backgrounds(I think), but Cruickshank also has wrestling to mix in, which should only make his standup more effective. Cruickshank via KO, round 1.

Welterweight Bout: Quinn Mulhern (18-2) vs. Rick Story (14-6)

Tim Hickey: God, what happened to you Rick Story. You hold wins over Thiago Alves and Johny Hendricks. We thought you were going to be The Chosen One, the man who would ascend to the highest levels of the division. Then Charlie Brenneman walked off the street, taking a fight in 24 hrs noticed, beat you and you were never the same. I would like to think you still have enough promise to beat Mulhern. Story via decision.

Luke Irwin: Yikes, Story bringing up the Facebook portion of a PPV card. Nevertheless, Mulhern is a perfectly adequate fighter, but he’s not a high-level guy, has feasted on horrible competition, and he’s never faced a fighter as aggressive and brutal as Rick Story. This is a rebound fight for Story, I believe. Story R1 KO.

Connor Dillon: Story via TKO.

Tim Bernier: I’m not a fan of Rick Story, but to deny his ability to win a snoozer by clutching a single leg against the cage is to claim ignorance. Rick Story by zzzzz decision.

TC Engel: I don’t think this is going to be close. Rick Story beats Quinn Mulhern by first round annihilation.

Josh Hall: Story UD- Mulhern has a gaudy record on paper but has not fared well when he has had steps up in competition. Story is a giant step up. Story by lopsided decision.

Nolan Howell: Rick Story by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: Story has the strength to take it to Mulhern. I know that sounds shockingly vague, but what I’m saying is Story via UD.

Bantamweight Bout: Issei Tamura (7-3) vs. TJ Dillashaw (6-1)

Tim Hickey: Dillashaw via KO

Luke Irwin: Paraphrasing Ty Webb in Caddyshack, “Issei you’re not….you’re not…good.” Dillashaw via R3 Submission.

Connor Dillon: Dillashaw via TKO.

Tim Bernier: TJ Dillashaw has been pleasantly surprising to watch. He’ll probably get ragged on for being Team Alpha Male by some of my esteemed colleagues here, but I’ve enjoyed watching him. Dillashaw by Submission, round 1.

TC Engel: Yeah, I have my doubts about a Japanese fighter vs. a good grappler, especially when it’s a marketable, young TUF vet that the UFC wants to push. TJ Dillishaw beats Issei Tamura by first round technical knockout.

Josh Hall: Dilleshaw KO1- This should be quick and painful. Tamura has struggled as of late, going 2-3 in his last five fights, and Dilleshaw should come out aggressive here. TJ by 1st round KO.

Benjamin Kohn: Dillishaw by UD- TJ has looked good but I don’t see him finishing Tamura who is very durable.

Nolan Howell: TJ Dillashaw by first-round TKO.

Chris Groves: I think Dillashaw’s grappling has come along well enough to ensure a win here. Dillashaw via Sub, round 1.

Bantamweight Bout: George Roop (12-9-1) vs. Reuben Duran (8-4-1)

Tim Hickey: Is it sad when I would rather see any of the Facebook fights on the main card instead of Mike Ricci? Roop via TKO.

Luke Irwin: I still can’t believe Roop is fighting at Bantamweight, and he’s apparently very comfortable at it. Gah, he’s going to look like Wicker Man to his opponents. As for Reuben Duran, loved his bouts and wars with Sugar Ray, Hagler, and Hearns, but he just doesn’t have it. Roop via R2 TKO.

Connor Dillon: Roop via TKO.

Tim Bernier: WEC NEVER FORGET. George Roop by decision.

TC Engel: Well, I haven’t seen Duran fight in forever, but he can’t be worse than Roop. He just can’t. Wait, he has a belly button tattoo? George Roop beats Reuben Duran by Unanimous Decision.

Josh Hall: Roop UD- Roop desperately needs a win here, and I think he uses his length to keep it at range and outpoint Duran for a decision win.

Benjamin Kohn: Roop by UD- Long and lanky wins the race.

Nolan Howell: George Roop by unanimous decision.

Chris Groves: This is a must-win for Roop, and I think he does what he needs to do and outpoints Duran with his lenght and striking. Roop via UD.

The Morning After Drill: UFC on Fuel Silva vs. Stann

 

  • Tough break for a lot of fighters last night. Many, many, MANY fights that could have gone the other way.
  • Brian Stann has absolutely NOTHING to be ashamed of. He fought out of his ideal weigh class against a legend who was fighting IN his ideal weight class in his opponent’s “home” against a hostile environment. He stood toe-to-toe against a legend and pushed Wandy to his limit. A Wanderlei Silva 1-2 that lands jaw-behind ear would put 99% of the population in an ambulance, but Stann still fought back on his back. I hope this doesn’t affect him long-term, and he was his usual classy self in defeat. I hope he bounces back quickly.
  • The Gomi-Sanchez decision wasn’t the worst I’ve ever seen, but it was bad. I had the fight 30-29 Gomi, but I could have easily scored it 30-27 without a regret. Yes, I had two 10-10 rounds, but those were leaning heavily towards Gomi. 29-28 Sanchez never crossed my mind.
  • I thought he finally turned the corner. I thought that Struve had finally learned after his fights with Buentello, with Nelson, with Browne, that he would stop trying to engage big, slow, plodding, knockout artists and FINALLY use his length, ground game, and intelligence. I said there was NO WAY Struve would engage with Hunt, the ONE GUY he couldn’t afford to brawl with, that he was older, more mature, and a guy on his way to a title shot! I was wrong. Really, really fucking wrong. He had NOTHING for Hunt on the ground and preferred to stay in close, throwing nary a front kick. I hope Stefan is ok, but he deserved to lose that fight. That was awful on his part.
  • Luckily, thanks to a certain seven-foot Dutchman. Hector Lombard’s Fight IQ wasn’t the worst of the night! Hooray! He loved to dive right into Okami’s guard despite being constantly controlled by Okami on the ground and refused to take the fight standing even after rocking Yushin. He’s down 20-18 with a minute left, he has Okami on the floor after rocking him…and he decides to play ground control. Are you fucking kidding me? To prelims with you, Lombard.
  • Bryan Caraway was well on his way to victory until his corner told him to do….nothing. To coast?? Awful. Maybe Miesha needs to stay in the front row because she told him repeatedly he was up 2-0 when he clearly wasn’t. Caraway was eager to find out what he had to do to finish the fight and get the win but they gave him two tips: 1. Jack, 2. Shit. Awful. For our boxing fans, I tweeted that he couldn’t have had any worse advice if Naazim Richardson was in his corner.
  • Siyar may be a killer, but he’s in the worst division possible to be weak on his back. This isn’t a gym in Hungaria against a 1-4 fighter, the welterweight division is a shark tank of wrestling and ground-and-pound. He would have been in even worse shape if not for Herb Dean, who, for some reason is now awful. The fuck happened, Herb?
  • Something that I feel has gotten lost is the fact that Yushin Okami is a really, really damned good fighter. He controlled Lombard for two rounds, then withstood his onslaught in the third; something I didn’t think he had the chin for. Okami might never get another shot at Silva, but he has a very high-level gatekeeper and has squashed the title hopes of two men in his last two fights definitively.

 

Contributor: Nolan Howell:

  • MARKUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU HUNTOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
  • That’s literally all I want posted.

 

Contributor: Josh Hall

The UFC traveled to Saitama Super Arena for a flashback to the glory days of Pride FC, with Wanderlei Silva, Mark Hunt, and Takanori Gomi all appearing on the card.  The card had its good moments and bad, but the final two fights redeemed everything wrong that happened previously.

Wanderlei Silva turned back the clock to 2003 and fought with reckless abandon and sheer will in an epic stand up battle against “All American” Brian Stann.  The two men traded knockdowns in the first round, both refusing to stand down despite getting rocked.  Stann suffered a nasty broken nose and was clearly affected in the second round, eventually getting blasted by a right hand and knocked unconscious with vicious ground and pound.

Mark Hunt is a relevant title contender in 2013.  Let the beauty of that just wash over you.  Hunt was 5-7 and offered money to go away; instead he has reeled off 4 straight wins including a jaw breaking knockout of Stefan Struve.  The walk off after breaking his jaw was one of the more epic you will ever see, and Mark Hunt has learned how to grapple a little bit.  Hunt voluntarily engaged on the ground with the dangerous Skyscraper, fending off submission attempts and even passing guard on multiple occasions.  Hunt will certainly leap into the top ten, and a title eliminator could be up next for the Super Samoan.

Gomi was the worst victim on a night on a night of terrible judging.  Diego Sanchez did nothing to win either of the last 2 rounds, and the decision has been pretty much unanimously agreed upon to be wrong by MMA media.  Gomi came into the fight in good shape and fought a smart fight on the feet, picking Diego the vampire hunter apart with his boxing.  It was painful to watch him on the short end of an incorrect decision, especially in that arena.

Hector Lombard fights with a negative fight IQ.  After fighting two terrible rounds, he had his chance with Okami wobbled in the third, before inexplicably diving into his guard and subsequently throwing no serious ground and pound.  The only thing worse than his finish was the 29-28 score he received from a judge, leaving us with a split decision in a fight where every round was obvious.  Boo.

Rani Yahya has improved his wrestling a great deal, but his cardio has a ways to go.  Nevertheless, it would was enough to win a decision over Mizuto Hirota.  Hirota is another fighter to add to the list of Japanese fighters with poor UFC debuts.

Siyar Bahadurzada’s lack of wrestling or any real effective grappling was totally exposed by Dong Hyun Kim, who grinded him out in a one sided decision win.  Kim never mounted much offense until an entertaining third round that included him baiting Siyar to hit him from his back and actual attempts to finish the fight.

The prelims were decent, but not particularly notable.  Hyun Gyu Lin scored an impressive knockout over Marcelo Guimares, who may be a victim of the massive impending cuts.  Speaking of cuts, and the name Marcel(l)o, say goodbye to Cristiano Marcello after a terrible performance against debuting Kazuki Tokudome.  Alex Caceres won a questionable split decision in a less than enthralling affair against Kyung Ho Kang.

Brad Tavares was impressive in a unanimous decision win against a tough, but overmatched Riki Fukuda.  Miesha Tate gave Bryan Caraway the worst corner advice possible, telling him to coast after the second round because he was up two rounds already.  He lost the third round and a split decision.  Oops.  With the victory for Takeya Mizugaki, he has won back to back fights for the first time in his Zuffa career.

That’s all I’ve got.  It felt like I stepped in a time machine back to 2003 for the last three fights, and that was one of the coolest things ever for me as a fan.

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